Analysis On Farmers’ Willingness To Report And Wta(Willingness To Accept) Of Avian Influenza

The progress of livestock industry has been an important aspect of our agricultural development for a long time. However, with the development of stockbreeding and increase of import and export of livestock products, the epidemic disease of livestock products has been spreading abroad, which results in enormous economic impact on livestock industry and also threatens the public health safety. For instance, highly pathogenic avian influenza is a badly dangerous epidemic disease of animals infecting both human beings and animals. In addition, with regard to the report written by the Ministry of Public Health of our country to World Health Organization, since the year of2009, the cases of highly pathogenic avian influenza in China have been on the rise, and avian influenza has still threatened us on the way.In order to avoid the avian influenza, our government has executed100%free immunization of poultry. In the meantime, according to Temporarily Administer method Prevention and Cure Funds of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza, once highly pathogenic avian influenza is broken out, in order to avoid spreading of avian influenza virus it will block the epidemic place within3km of it and kill all of the poultry in the exclusion zone. Its relief standard is regulated as the following:the farmers will be compensated10Yuan per poultry such as chicken, duck, and goose. Of course, the authority can adjust the relief standard differing in different kinds of poultry, or between poult and teleoptile according to the actual conditions of different regions. However, it is generally assumed that the average level of compensation is too low to make the raisers’losses, especially for household of scale. The raisers as rational beings are possible to conceal the actual situation or sell their diseased animals by various kinds of approaches to cut down their losses before reporting the epidemic situation. After the raisers’"rational alternative", only the rest animals are left for the government to kill. Thus, when breaking out the avian influenza, the report of raisers greatly impacts on the actual results of controlling this disease. It is necessary for us to study on the raisers’willingness of report and compensation, which is beneficial to the control of avian influenza.Consequently, this thesis studies on the farmers’willingness to report and WTA based on the statistics of investigation on Hai’an and Guannan of Jiangsu Province. In particular, it is divided into there parts:firstly, the author makes generally statistical analysis of raisers’ conscience of avian influenza, willingness to report and the breeding situation of household of scale. Secondly, the author carries on regression analysis of the reporting willingness between household of scale, of scatter breeding and of non-poultry and the influencing factors by Logit Model based on the former step, and concludes that willingness of the above three households’report is remarkably influenced by the conscience of bird flu’s policies, its threats and individual risk; trust in the government’s killing compensation policy pays a great effect on whether the farmers would like to report; the situation of breeding is another important element affecting household of scale to report their own epidemic situation, but is of no consequence to the report of household of scatter breeding. Thirdly, the author gives a statistical interpretation on willingness of compensation of household of scale, and applies Cox’ Proportional Hazard Model to the influencing factors of their WTA, and proves that the breeding costs is the main factor affecting the will WTA of household of scale, which also lies on the amount of breeding to some extent. Moreover, even if the raisers know about the threats of avian influenza and its relief policy, they still feel a certain reluctance to be compensated.Through the above analysis, the main policy proposals are:1. advocate the breeding of scale and gradually decrease the number of household of scatter breeding2. Strengthen publicity of the killing compensation policy of avian influenza3. Ensure adequate relief and cut down the execution lag of compensation policy4. Establish reasonable the compensation amount.5. Reinforce the technical supervision and guide the household of scale to decrease the breeding costs.