The Study On The Influence Of Bulk Carrier Upsizing To Shipping Market

The development of international ore trade greatly increases dry bulk fleet and VLOC fleet, and the construction of CVRD VLOC fleet make the proble m of bulk carrier upsizing become the focus in shipping industry. As the unba lance of dry bulk carriers supply and demand and weakness of global economi c recovery, the research on the influence of bulk carrier upsizing on shipping market, especially on the influence of the international ore traders dominating VLOC construction on shipping market has important practical significance and theory value.First of all, through the empirical analysis of dry bulk fleet and owner, th is article studys the present situation and characteristics of dry bulk upsizing. Also the paper forecasts the upsizing of bulk fleet in the next few years by c ombiantied forecast of time series method and trend extrapolation. The results show the trend that bulk carrier upsizing accelerates will remain the same, and it will be dominant by the ore traders to a great extent. Secondly, this paper studies the economic rationality of bulk carrier upsizing by using statistical and cost analysis method, the results show larger dry bulk carrier can adapt to m arine demand growth and reduce the costs of shipping. Then, on account that t he ore traders prompt the over-upsizing of bulk carrier, the paper studies on th e negative effects of bulk carrier upsizing on global shipping market, internatio nal maritime trade and port construction. Research shows that the dry bulk ups izing aggravate the unbalance between supply and demand and the surplus of port capacity surplus in china.AIso costruction of CVRD VLOC fleet aims to c ontrol Marine trade industry chain for extra profit. Finally, based on the above research and analysis, this article studies the measures to deal with bulk carri er upsizing from the view of shipping enterprise and shipping industry chain.D ry bulk transport enterprise need to actively participate in bulk upsizing.govern ment and all related enterprise need to work together to maintain our steel ind ustry chain interests and ore trade safety and promote the development of ship ping industry and steel industry of our country.