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Empirical Study On Mode Choice In Integrated Transport Corridor Considering In-city Time

Posted on:2014-03-26Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:T T DouFull Text:PDF
GTID:2252330425970532Subject:Systems Engineering
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The rapid growth of transport demand needs to add a large number of infrastructures, application of new technology to change the features of transport modes, competition of comprehensive transportation corridor passenger market is performing in wider range and deeper expansion, in depth analysis of the influence factors and regularity of various distance passenger travel behavior and the relationship of transport operators and traveler will benefit for optimizing the configuration of transportation resource and re-positioning the target market.In this paper, begin with the basic theory of the transport corridor, divided passengers travel process in corridor into the city’s travel and the corridor’s travel. Combining with the characteristics of each transportation mode and the relationships between them, In-depth analysis the passengers travel select behavior at the conditions of competition. Based on the detailed introduction of passenger travel demand and psychological activities, analysis of the micro and macro factors of passenger travel select behavior. We choose the MNL model which is widely used in disaggregated model to calculate the result of passengers’election. Finally, the paper set Beijing-Shanghai transport corridor as an example, using the previous analysis results and the prediction model, to calculate the mode share of each transportation mode in the transport corridor. And to analysis the change of the mode share when the service attributes change of mode of transportation. The thesis analyzes the influence of dedicated passenger line speed and price on the trip mode split behavior of the inter-city passengers, some conclusions are drawn in the end:①With the increase of the city travel time of various transport mode in different trip distance, share of the various transport modes can vary immensely, in the short-distance travel, around the time great impact on the rate of share of the high-speed railway, operators can improve the sharing ratio by changing external hub locations or enhancing the station transport links with parts of the city.②When the increase of the waiting time of various transport mode in different trip distance, share of the various transport modes can vary immensely, under the short-distance travel, the sensitivity of the city time is greater than the sensitivity of waiting time. In long distance, the sensitivity of the city time of the passenger is similar to waiting time. Therefore, operators can optimize the railway plan to reduce passenger’s waiting time, thus increasing high-speed rail sharing ratio.③Share of the various transport modes can vary immensely with the increase of the travel time of various transport mode in different trip distance, different distance travelers are most sensitive to travel time, take high speed railway as a example, we can conclude such conclusions from the travel speed and passenger share rate, short-distance passengers in the market primarily select the ordinary speed railways, if the high-speed railway want to get more market share, it is required other property does not change, improve travel speed significantly, exert its advantages in quickness, in middle distance transport market high speed railway has an absolute advantage, civil aviation and high speed rail is the main competitors in the long distance market, travel speed could be increased or decreased flexibly by high speed railway to face competition with the civil aviation.④In different trip distance, various share of the transport modes can vary immensely with the increase of the fare of various transport mode, in the short distance transport market, high speed rail compete with common railway, compete with civil aviation in the long-distance transport market and occupy an absolute advantage in the distance to markets, operators could set reasonable fares to maximize benefits according to the actual situation.
Keywords/Search Tags:comprehensive transportation corridor, MNL mode, transport mode, time of travelling in city
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