A Study On The Changes Of Sub - Sectors In China

With the rapid expansion of the scale of China’s foreign trade, China has become the focus of trade friction objects relevant countries against Chinese trade practices, from a single application of anti-dumping, anti-subsidy and gradually increased to two and use, namely the "double reverse." Since early 2004, the first since the case of "dual" since the survey, by the end of 2013, China has suffered 69 "dual" investigation, involving industry continues to expand and show some regularity. China has become the "dual" central object because diverse:both fair trade principles, objectivity view under the WTO rules, industrial change, the government’s industrial policies and measures, trade structure and trade and other aspects of the inevitability of change, There are some national political cycle, the election period and even diplomatic relations and other aspects of probability. Through the appearance of the country suffered through a "dual" feature industry segments and caused changes in factor analysis, to explore the country suffered "double reverse" the law of change and the related sub-sectors to predict trends on China’s "new normal" While expanding opening up, theoretical and policy reference value, which is also the gist of this article.This paper is divided into six chapters. The first chapter is the introduction part. Chapter Ⅱ literature and theories related to this article were reviewed, and advocates fair trade theory, "double reverse" trade policy effect theory, lead to political economics "dual" mechanism of industrial economics and trade policies, as this article The theoretical basis. The third chapter of the country suffered "double reverse" the Sub-sectors analysis, the change in characteristics industry segments, including steel and steel products industry is still "double reverse" the hardest hit country suffered "double reverse" subdivision expanding the scope of foreign trade and China "dual" extends to high-tech industries. Chapter Ⅳ of the reasons for change suffer from a "dual" theoretical analysis of industry segments. The fifth chapter by building empirical models, using negative binomial regression model to China suffer from a "double reverse" the reason for the change industry segments empirical analysis, combined with changes in characteristics are summarized above to predict our industry is facing the "double reverse" trend, obtain traditional industry is still foreign to China, "double reverse" as well as key industries in our country and Europe and other countries in the field of technology-intensive industries, "dual" friction intensified this conclusion. The sixth chapter summarizes the findings and get inspiration from the conclusion, that through government, industry associations and business point of view, in order to reduce or avoid foreign countries’ "double reverse" make targeted suggestions.