Equilibrium Analysis On Consumption And Investment Of Hebei Province

Consumption and investment have been the focus of influence on economic growth, bothconsumption and investment is like a seesaw, only the balance adjustment would have been ingood condition, rational ratio of consumption and investment will lead to economicdevelopment, complementary to consumption and investment, investment growth inconsumption has played a leading guide. Unreasonable ratio of consumption and investmentwill seriously affect the economic growth, consumption and investment imbalance will affectthe coordination of economic development, so we should pay sufficient attention toconsumption and investment imbalance.First of all, this article analyze the factors of influencing the consumption,whichresidents income growth rates decline, income gaps, low consumption,farmers’ income; andaffecting the investment,which high savings rates, increased government investment ofsupernormal and fixed asset growth, population age structure of qualitative analysis. Thenwith the state space model came consumption and investment coefficient on consumption andinvestment for quantitative analysis, came at this stage investment rate of changes is greaterthan consumption of changes, by established errors amendment model that the period of GDPincrease relative to investment and consumption coefficient value added level is low, So inorder to improve the regional GDP must coordinate the relationship between consumption andinvestment proportion, finally this paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestionsto optimize the consumption proportion of investment. To optimize consumptioncountermeasures including caring the salary system, increasing the income of residents;adjusting the distribution of income, contractible income gap; stimulating consumption, raisea dweller to consume the tendency; increase rural dweller income, enlarge consumptivedemand. On the optimal investment strategies include lowering high savings, the savings intoinvestment; optimization of government investment, improve investment efficiency; adjusting the direction of investment, optimize the investment structure; Development Fund for theelderly, reduce savings.