Correlation Analysis Of Tax Revenue And Economic Growth In Gansu Province

Along with the development of the economy, tax plays a more and more role. Tax is an important constitute of the national finance, as the same time, as one of the main tools is used to carrying out macroeconomic regulation and controlling by the government, and as an effective means to realize fairness and efficiency, there is interaction between tax and economic relations, so the prediction of tax revenue and the analysis of the relationship between tax revenue and economic indicators, the reasonable tax planning is great significant.Through reading some related literature about China and abroad, respectively, using the traditional method to establish models, such as the co-integration analysis, the ECM, BP neural network and stepwise regression metering method. Based on more national tax revenue and economic indicators in Gansu province, then we use a variety of methods to model and forecast in our province national tax income, analyzes the relationship between national tax revenue and economic indicators. Results show that the GDP and national tax income in Gansu province have obvious correlation, and more influence of national tax revenue in our province economic indicators are GDP, fiscal expenditure and consumption. Finally, some relevant suggestions are gave to the tax system in our province and economic development.