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The Study On The Financial Transimission Of The Business Cycle Synchronization Of East Asia

Posted on:2016-05-27Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:Z C SunFull Text:PDF
GTID:2309330482468113Subject:Applied Economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
This paper talks about the business cycle synchronization transmission channel in finance market. Constructs a panel data analysis model based on bilateral interest rate, exchange rate, bilateral currency and business cycle, then examine the effect of interest rate fluctuations, exchange rate fluctuations and monetary fluctuation on the nine economics of East Asia, at the same time, analyse the Fdi fluctuation in china and other area. The results show that there is a significant positive effect on the monetary supply in the business cycle fluctuations of East Asian countries, while the interest rate and exchange rate changes are positive correlation too. The impact of financial transmission in China and its neighboring countries has found that the introduction of interest rate and other related factors will weaken the trade, exchange rate and money supply become the main factor, and the negative correlation between trade and cycle, which is different from the results of the 9 economies, it reveals the dependence of China’s trade in other areas, which shows China’s leading role in these economies.
Keywords/Search Tags:Business cycle synchronization, Finance transmission, East asia, Financial integration
PDF Full Text Request
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