The Carbon Emissions,Structure And Economic Growth Of Tourism Industry

In 2015,there were about 133 million foreigners coming visit China and consequent international tourism revenue was about $113 billion.Additionally,the number of domestic tourists increased to about 4.1 billion and the domestic tourism revenue increased to about 4.13 trillion yuan.With the strategic adjustment of the economic structure,the structural optimization problems of tourism economy is importance and necessity,which is based on the quantitative analysis to study the relationship between the structure of tourism industry and the tourism economic growth.The research report published jointly by the World Tourism Organization,the United Nations Environment Programme,the World Meteorological Organization shows that the global tourism industry is play an important role in greenhouse gases(GHG)emission that cause the global warming issue.Thus,not only the relationship between the structure of tourism industry and the tourism economic but also the relationship between both and the tourism carbon emissions are investigated in this work.In this work,the tourism economy is divided into various sub-systems according to the benchmarking theories of the environmental economics and industrial economists.It is found that in the tourism ecnomy with prominent comprehensive and holistic characteristics,the tourism industrial structure has a mutual influence with the growth of the tourism ecnomy.And on the basis of the theory of "decoupling",tourism carbon emissions may be coupled with the tourism economic growth,while in long term,a so-called decoupling phenomenon is observed between the tourism carbon emissions and the structure of tourism industry.Thus the impact of tourism carbon emissions is exogenous in the framework of the tourism economy and tourism industry structure theory.According to the research achievements of industrial economics,the measurement in the structure of tourism industry with two dimensions is applied,at the same time,according to the research of tourism economy,the measurement in tourism carbon emission is the so-called "top-down" and "bottom-up" method are used.The semi-parametric spatial panel vector autoregression model and the impulse response analysis are built by introducing indexes that can consider the mutual influence relationshio between the tourism ecnomy and tourism industry structure as well as the spatial effect of tourism problems.It is found that the effect of tourism carbon emissions on the growth of tourism economy is less significant when its growth rate is small,while its effect on the growth of tourism economy increases with increasing growth rate.It would suppress the growth of the growth of the tourism economy and the structure optimization of the tourism industy.The tourism industrial structure level has positive effect on the tourism economic growth in the longer term,while the tourism carbon emissions have negative effect on the balanced development of the tourism economy.This indicates that the effect of the tourism carbon emission on the structure of tourism industry is volatile.The impulse response analysis shows that the developments in tourism economic in various provinces influence each other significantly when their tourism industry is rational and optimized.This can be explained by the complementary effect and substitution effect due to the fact that tourist destination is consumer goods which has the same properties as the ordinary goods.The development of the tourism economy should co-ordinate between the provinces and strength their cooperation in order to form stronger regional tourism competitiveness.