A Study On The Success Or Failure Conditions Of The State Threatened To Exit The International Institutions

After the Second World War,various types of international institutions appeared on the international stage,especially after the end of the cold war,the international institution has entered a new era of rapid development.The motive of the sovereign states to create or participate in the international institutions is to express interest demands in certain interest-related areas and to safeguard national interests.However,sometimes the international institutions do not guarantee the realization of national interests,or can not guarantee the interests of some certain states.At this point,a member state will leave the institution or voice objections to a change to the institution if its demands are not met.In this process,states often threaten to exit the international institution to change the unfavorable situation or gain extra benefits.Such as when certain provisions of the institution are detrimental to some states and favorable to others,the latter states may "correct" the provision by threatening exit.For example,Harold Wilson demanded the EC renegotiate British terms of entry,and threatened to leave the organization if his demands were not met.When certain states in the institutions do not abide by the rules and make unethical selfish behavior,the sovereign state may also send a threat signal from the institutions to force the immoral states to comply with the rules and regulations of the institutions.Moreover,sometimes the states will also express the demands in other areas by threatening to exit institutions,such as Iran threatened to withdraw from the "Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty",to express dissatisfaction about pressure on Iran's uranium enrichment from American.In addition,the state in order to obtain personal gain may also choose to threaten to withdraw from the institutions,such as the former French President Nicolas Sarkozy threatened to withdraw from the "Schengen Treaty" in2012,its purpose is to please the domestic anti-immigrant right-wing national front.When states threaten to exit the international institutions,different countries will get different results,and the same state in different times may also be successful or failed.This paper first examines the different strategies,Exit or Voice,chosen by the member states and attempts to use the case that Britain threatened to withdraw from theEuropean Union in the different stages of the British budgetary questions to focus on the factors,that is,what factors led to the success or failure when the states threaten to exit the international institutions.This paper attempts to examine the successful or unsuccessful conditions when member states threaten to exit the international institutions through three dimensions:the state's dependence on the international institutions,the domestic support for government decision-making and the core members' dependence on the state.After the initial study,the basic view of this paper is that the lower the dependence of the state on the international institutions,the easier it is to reach the goal by threatening exit;the higher the level of support of the domestic force for the threat exit,the easier it is for the government to make a credible threat and to achieve the target;the higher dependence of the other core members on the state,the more the core members do not want to see the state out of the institutions,so the easier it is for the state to be successful.