The Gasoline Sales Development Trend Of Northeastern

With the rapid development of our economy and the continuous improvement of people's living standard, the automobile inventory rises quickly continuously, and the pull of the gasoline consumption shows increasing trend in whole. But the current environment of gasoline market is affect by the international trend of crude oil, the domestic economic situation, the quality of products, the related policies, the competition method, the alternative energy and many other factors, complex and varied, the competition has become the main environment of a sales enterprise survival and development.The forecast of gasoline sales volume tendency that may foresee the changes dynamic of gasoline market in the future, reduces the uncertainty with the future sale and reduces the risk of decision-making that may be encountered, is a foundation of the oil sales companies when it making gasoline marketing strategy, an important basis when it judgment the future development of enterprise. It has very important significance to optimize resource allocation, scientific tissue operation, reduce cost and increase benefit.The thesis demonstrates it from research and analysis the background of the Northeast China gasoline sales volume with china's petroleum, competition pattern,and main influence factors of gasoline sales volume?Based on extensive reading of both domestic and foreign study on the related reference and research results of prediction model. Further study on the development of gasoline sales volume with Northeast China. Through study of the prediction model and example verification obtained for prediction model suitable for China's Northeastern gasoline sales volume.(1) The first part introduce the background of China's oil industry and the competitive landscape composition, the Northeast gasoline market situation and the actual sales situation, in order to further provide a basic platform for prediction of China's northeastern gasoline sales volume development trend.(2) The second part detailed analysis of the main factors affecting gasoline sales on China's current economic and market conditions, including economic factors, policy factors, car ownership factors, price factors and environmental factors, and alternative energy sources, and will go into the details the impact of various factors on the sales.(3) The third part analyze the advantages and disadvantages of current comparison of three predictive models, the gray prediction method, multiple linear regression, time series forecasting method, and application in predict the gasoline sales volume development trend. Through forecasting of the gasoline sales volume with northeast of China's petroleum, put forward which prediction model is more suitable for China's northeastern gasoline sales volume forecasts, and provide a theoretical basis for gasoline sales business.