The Warning And Forecast Of The Progress Of Budget Implementation In X City

The growth rate of the government financial revenues and expenditures in China is higher than the growth rate with the total GDP of our country annual increasing in recent years. The scale of financial expenditures is also expanded annually. So it brings the problem of the poor budget implementation. The financial funds remain in the budget unit for a long time that caused the waste of the financial funds. Therefore, speeding up the progress of budget execution is the key method to improve the operation efficiency of financial capital and make the stock of funds useful which is also the problem need to be solved urgently.The thesis firstly analyzed the present situation of the financial budget implementation management and the causes of the poor execution of the budget. It also expounded the necessity of speeding up the progress of budget implementation. Secondly, the thesis used data mining method to warning to the budget units which has the poor budget implementation and forecasted the progress of budget implementation through the establishment of the decision tree and neural network model. Otherwise, the thesis expounded the implementation process of the X city's warning and forecast. It also analyzed several aspects according to the realities of the X city's financial budget implementation management, such as business understanding, data understanding, building institutions, unified standards of data, data extraction and the establishment of the models etc. Finally, it Summarize the whole article and looking forwards to the improvement of the models in the future to make the financial budget implementation management more scientific.