The Research On The Competitiveness Of Electric Energy Substitution In The Terminal Energy Consumption Market

It tends to be easing of the power supply and demand situation of Gansu province recently.It is the improvement of power supply capacity that lays the foundation of the increasing of the power substitution and the proportion of electricity consumption in the terminal energy consumption.As the energy consumption structure of our province is becoming more and more diversified and the competition in the energy market is increasingly fierce,it has become an urgent task for the power grid enterprises to increase the electricity consumption proportion and improve the electrification level.The competitiveness of power in the terminal energy consumer market is analyzed and the potential of the power substitution is determined in this paper.A decision-making reference about improving terminal energy consumption structure and terminal energy utilization efficiency is provided for Gansu province.First of all,a summary of the current research status of electric energy substitution at home and abroad is reviewed and the current situation of terminal energy consumption in Gansu province is studied.This paper expounds the basic theory and method of time series analysis,and uses the growth rate method to forecast the trend of all kinds of terminal energy consumption from 2015 to 2020.The results show that the proportion of coal,oil and electric energy in the terminal energy consumer market will be increased,while electric energy in the terminal energy consumer market does not account for the absolute advantage in the next 5years.Secondly,an in-depth investigation and analysis of the characteristics of energy consumption in industry,the service industry and the life of the residents of Gansu province are carried on,and the characteristics of terminal energy consumption in various typical industries and the electric energy substitution schemes are studied.The research results show that: in some specific occasions and urban areas heating market,electric energy has the incomparable advantage of natural gas and industrial gas boiler is superior to the electric boiler in the economic aspect.Finally,the competitiveness of electric energy in energy consumption market and the substitution potential of electric energy in industrial,the service industry and residents living energy are carried out from the aspect of energy policy,energy prices,the application of new technology and new equipment,etc.Conclusions are drawn to improve the proportion of energy consumption in the terminal market and the future research work in electric energy substitution is prospected.