Analysis Of The Impact Of Income Gap Between Urban And Rural Residents In Guizhou Province On Economic Growth

Urban-rural income gap size affected economic growth? With the expansion of the urban-rural income gap in Guizhou Province, more widespread concern in society, if we can sort out the intrinsic link between the two, will contribute to the achievement of Guizhou Province social and economic better and faster development.Since1995, the urban-rural income gap in Guizhou Province has always been above3gradual rise in the present stage, whether the urban-rural income gap in Guizhou Province retarding effect on economic growth? Traditional economic theory suggests that the existence of urban-rural income gap promote economic growth, endogenous economic theory suggests that hinder the role of urban-rural income gap on economic growth, With the development of the theory of time series and panel data, empirical studies have obtained the nonlinear effect of income disparity on economic growth, therefore whether there is the interval of the positive effects of income disparity on economic growth in Guizhou Province?How much the positive effect range of the urban-rural income gap in Guizhou Province?If do not adjust the current situation of urban-rural income gap in Guizhou Province, Guizhou Province urban-rural income gap between the long-term trend in the positive effect of range? Answers to the above problem, the mediation of Guizhou provincial government urban-rural income gap, promote the economic development of Guizhou Province, social stability, has profound meaning.Comb relevant literature on the basis of the inverted "U" shape affect the urban-rural income gap in Guizhou Province on economic growth, build the theoretical model and empirical analysis of urban-rural income gap in Guizhou Province positive effect range on economic growth, The main work of this paper are summarized as follows:1?In this paper an econometric panel data model found that urban-rural income gap in Guizhou Province for the inverted "U" shaped impact on economic growth, so that there are urban-rural income gap in Guizhou Province positive effect on economic growth interval;2?by using the threshold panel data model measures the range of the state of nine City, Guizhou Province,1980-2010annual urban-rural income gap a positive effect on economic growth, urban-rural income gap measure indicators is urban-rural income ratio of Guizhou Province, urban-rural income gap of Guizhou Province, the effects of positive effects range2.9-3.84; 3?In this paper, urban-rural income gap impact on economic growth mechanism are described, and analysis the urban-rural income gap cause consumer demand effect on Guizhou Province,, we found a mixed urban and rural residents in Guizhou Province in the years1978-1989, from2000to2008, the propensity to consume these two periods Guizhou Province, the level of urbanization continued to improve with the change in the urban-rural income gap and the level of urbanization showed the opposite direction, the expansion of the urban-rural income gap, making the Guizhou Province of urban and rural residents in mixed-propensity to consume decline, reducing the consumer demand of Guizhou Province, hinder economic growth;4?urban-rural income gap continues to expand for Guizhou Province, predict Guizhou Province urban-rural income gap and verify the convergence of the urban-rural income gap in Guizhou Province, the study found that urban-rural income gap in Guizhou Province will be widening convergence, convergence is11, the Guizhou Province of urban residents per capita disposable income of Guizhou Province rural per capita net income of11times, if do not adjust the current situation of urban-rural income gap in Guizhou Province, the final convergence value of urban-rural income gap in Guizhou Province is not between the impact on economic growth effect of interval;5?Guizhou Province, urban-rural income gap continued to widen, will certainly affect the social stability in Guizhou Province, the Granger causality test by urban-rural income gap in Guizhou Province and the number of Guizhou Province criminal case,found that the urban-rural income gap is Guizhou Province Criminal unidirectional Granger cause of the number of registered and therefore made the Guizhou Province of urban-rural income gap is too large, it will affect social stability in Guizhou Province, which is the necessary condition to narrow the urban-rural income gap in Guizhou Province.