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Comparative Analysis Of The Influence Factors Of Cash In The Municipality

Posted on:2018-12-30Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:C Y ZhangFull Text:PDF
GTID:2359330515488185Subject:Statistics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Cash is the bond of the economy society.It represents the purchasing power.It is an important medium and means of payment in our life.There will be inflation issuing currency beyond the demand.On the contrary,there will be deflation issuing too little money in short supply.In recent years,the amount of money in the city is growing.Accordingly the profound changes have taken place with the impact of the amount of money invested in the times.So how to construct money supply model scientifically and accurately to ensure that all municipalities can inssue adequate money.Cash delivery is the means to increase the stock of M0,to strengthen the people's bank's cash management capacity and safeguard the financial and financial stability of municipalities directly under the central government.The basic situation of the existing cash flow theory from 1998 to 2015 years were analyzed.And the main influencing factors of summing up the money of the municipality directly under the central government.Studying the interaction interaction between major economic factors and the monetary output of Chongqing municipality by using vector self-regression model.For the sake of the simplicity of the analysis,this article does not consider the circulation of foreign funds,or assumes that the regional cash flow tends to balance.That the vector autoregression model can well measure the amount of money invested in Chongqing city.The monetary variables in the changes of money supply changes as its main influencing factors,monetary lagged money supply to the current amount of influence.The city's GDP in the long-run equilibrium relationship and in the short term fluctuations and money are the same direction change relation.Household savings and money is also the same direction changerelation of social consumer goods.There is a negative relationship between the total retail sales and money.The amount of empirical analysis in Chongqing city measure currency and further build the measure of other municipalities.The amount of money putting into the model and the four municipalities of the money supply measure for comparison and analysis.Those can be found that the influence factors of four municipalities.The money supply is not exactly the same.And the lag phase the currency amount of the current delivery has affect the conclusion.And on this basis,according to the characteristics of the regional economy,we should choose the influencing variables in the study of the monetary measurement model of the region or the country.And establishing a monitoring and early warning model of the sensitivity of each region,the scientific guidance area accurately measure the money supply.Attaching great importance to the effect of mutual coupling between the amount of money supply and economic development.Paying close attention to the impact of cash flow mainly economic and financial indicators suggest.
Keywords/Search Tags:Cash supply, Influencing factors, Vector error correction model, Comparative analysis
PDF Full Text Request
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