The Evaluation Of China's Economic Growth

Since the reform and opening,our country has experienced unprecedented high-speed growth.Since 2011 the growth rate of GDP began to come down,in 2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,the growth rate of GDP was 9.3%,7.7%,7.7%,7.3%,7.7%,Even so,the growth rate of China's GDP is still the top in the world.The main content of the thesis includes the following several aspects:first,the thesis reviews the growth and fluctuation of GDP in 1952-2015.Second,from the perspective of absolute quantity and relative quantity,we analyze the relationship between nominal GDP?real GDP and industrial electricity consumption?railway freight volume?medium and long-term loan?the "Keqiang index" one by one,discussing the growth and fluctuation of the "Keqiang index" and its three factors index are consistent with China's economic growth or not,whether the "Keqiang index" is suitable to evaluate the authenticity of the statistical date of economic growth.Finally,we calculate the Pearson correlation coefficient between nominal GDP?real GDP and industrial electricity consumption?railway freight volume?medium and long-term loan?the "Keqiang index",constructing multivariate regression to do a empirical-analysis,drawing the following conclusion:the three indicator variables and GDP appear highly positive correlation,and the correlation between the "Keqiang index" and the growth rate of GDP is relatively weaker.According to the analysis of the thesis in front,we put forward the following Suggestions:"Keqiang index" can be used to analyse the GDP growth,but has limitations,we cannot pursuit the growth of industrial electricity consumption?railway freight volume?medium and long-term loan exceedingly,but also focus on carbon emissions and other factors,paying attention to the harmoninous and sustainable development of the environment and economy.