A Study On The Economic Impact Of The Development Of Folk Custom Tourism In The Suburbs Of Beijing

Rural tourism in China is developing rapidly,has the industry system and industry scale,the effect on the economy and society in rural areas is more and more prominent.The rural tourism economy as an important content of tourism economics,along with the vigorous development of rural tourism and flourish,and there have been many achievements.The rural tourism economy most scholars mainly at the level of theory,with a large number of data to quantitatively investigate the specific impact of the development of rural tourism on rural economy is the direction of future research and development.This study uses a lot of statistical and field survey data,the analysis of the status quo of Rural Tourism District of BeijingOn the basis of selecting representative towns and villages as a case study,using two step E-G cointegration test,Grainger causality analysis,panel cointegration test method,dynamic panel GMM econometric analysis method and entropy method,set pair analysis method,the key obstacle degree analysis method.System and analyses the development of rural tourism in 2015 2004 to the total income of the rural economy,rural per capita net income,income gap between urban and rural areas and rural industries,comparative analysis of folk households and non folk households income,and the exploration of the economic system of the village folk vulnerability was evaluated.The main findings indicate that:The rural tourism economic development: 2006-2015 years,Beijing Rural Tourism total income on the whole is increasing year by year,but the growth rate fluctuates.The spatial disparity of county rural tourism economic development level decreased quickly in 2006-2010 years,after the gap changes slowly.Judging from the spatial distribution,in 2006 the economic development of rural tourism and high level low level counties showed "plaques" discrete distribution,to 2015,the evolution of high level and low level counties has a "contiguous" shape is relatively concentrated,and a high level of county wide distribution in the north,low level of county wide distribution in the south,The development gap between the north and the south is wideningEconometric analysis found through the stone town Beijing Miyun 7 village,2004-2015 years of tourism and rural economic development data: total revenue in rural tourism villages and rural economy,there are long-term equilibrium cointegration relationship between per capita net income of farmers.A one-way Granger cause of rural economic growth and the increase of farmers' income the Folk Village rural tourism development.At the same time,more than 0.2 folk village in the rural tourism development level has increased from the year average per capita net income of rural economic growth and rural tourism to the farmers income growth of two-way causal relationship between Grainger.The estimation results of the dynamic panel modelThe results show that the development of rural tourism can significantly reduce the income gap between urban and rural areas in stone towns.Among them,the systematic generalized estimation shows that the level of rural tourism development will increase by 1%,and the income gap between urban and rural areas in stone towns will be reduced by about 0.784 percentage pointsAccording to Lu Cun Shi Cheng Zhen Shi Tang rural tourism development and rural economic growth and the relationship between various industries found that from 2005 to 2014,the development of rural tourism contribution to the rural economic growth rate curve shows a type M,the fluctuation is obvious.The survey results showed: agriculture,fisheries,tourism consumption stripping coefficient to drink and in the service industry basically was increasing year by year.Tourism consumption stripping coefficient of transportation industry is first increased and then decreased.The service industry,tourism consumption stripping coefficient transportation and taking drink industry annual average respectively reached 0.53,0.39,0.20,rural tourism developmentExhibition has a great influence on the three industryShi Tang Lu village rural tourism development has economic impact on ordinary farmers,there is a big difference between tourism and non tourism income.The difference is mainly as follows: during the period from 2004 to 2015,the average income of folk households is at least 1.25 times of non folk households,up to 1.54 times.Phase fluctuation is the relative income gap between folk households and non folk households.The absolute gap between folk households and non folk households the average household income has been increasing,but the rate of expansion showed a downward trend.Fifth,during the period from 2004 to 2015,Shi Tang Lu Village Rural Tourism economic system vulnerability index in the effect of internal factors and external factors of the structure stress,the curve has large fluctuation,showing the first drop(2004 ~ 2007)-rise(2008 ~ 2010)and lower(2011 ~ 2012)-rise again(2013 ~ 2015)W.Sensitivity and response of rural tourism economic system determines the vulnerability of the size,but the change of vulnerability index trend is mainly affected by the sensitivity index,coping ability index plays a regulatory role,and regulation.The force gradually increased.