| The investment of chemical fiber project is a huge and complex project,which needs a comprehensive,scientific and systematic assessment towards the risk of the construction of the project.However,according to the existing literature,there is only a few study about the index of the risk assessment,causing investors be short of theories to support their chemical fiber investment research.Therefore,finding out an effective and accurate assessment method to guide people to analyze chemical fiber investment becomes an urgent problem which needs to be immediately discussed as well as to be further investigated.In this thesis,the author adopts AHP and FCE as risk assessment method and takes ultra-imitation cotton differential fibers project of TK Company as research object so as to construct TK Company's project evaluation index system.First and foremost,the paper analyzes the risk assessment background of some engineering project especially the chemical fiber project.Then basing on the research of overseas and domestic scholars as well as the review of relevant literature,the paper concludes a list of risk factors after identifying the risk of chemical fiber project by the means of documentation,structure decomposition and questionnaire.Secondly,according to the above research,the paper adopts AHP and FCE as evaluation method.After establishing the risk assessment index system and the analytic hierarchy process model,the weight of each risk factor can be figured out through calculation.Then the fuzzy judgment matrix is also going to be constructed according to the result of questionnaire.Finally,a risk level of project can be obtained by calculating the maximum degree of subordination of risk assessment index system.Thirdly,the author attempts to take TK Company's ultra-imitation cotton differential fibers project as a case study,aiming to not only demonstrate the feasibility and practicality of the thesis but also put forward some risk countermeasures according to the main risk factors. |
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