System Dynamics-based Simulation Of Kunming Residential Market

In the past ten years,with the continuous improvement of China's national economic level,the speed of urbanization has also accelerated,the development of the real estate industry is in full swing,its status in the national economy continues to improve,and the housing problem has gradually become a hot spot of concern.topic.As the capital city of Yunnan Province,Kunming has developed its real estate market rapidly and its scale has been expanding.People's quality requirements for housing have gradually increased,and residents' consumption concepts have become more mature.The real estate market is developing in a sustainable,healthy and stable direction.However,with the rapid development of the real estate market,the real estate market has also experienced the problem that the housing price growth rate is too fast,the transaction price and transaction volume are different,and the market is unstable.To this end,the government has introduced a series of real estate control policies,which have played a positive role in the regulation of the real estate market,but still did not achieve the expected goals,and even other unexpected problems.Therefore,how to scientifically and reasonably analyze the real estate industry structure,find out the factors affecting the real estate market,clarify the influence relationship within the real estate market participation factors,use scientific and reasonable methods to predict the changing trend of the real estate market,and simulate the real estate control policy for the real estate market.The effect of influence has gradually become one of the directions of people's research.Through reading real estate related literature and market research,this paper deeply analyzes and analyzes the participating factors of the real estate market,finds the main factors affecting the real estate market,and establishes the causal relationship between the various factors affecting the real estate market.Taking the residential commodity housing in Kunming as the research object,Using the relevant data of the residential commodity housing market in Kunming from 2014 to 2018,through the linear regression analysis of the data,the function relationship between real estate participation factors was found,and finally the system dynamics software Vensim 5.9c PLE was used to construct the residential commodity housing market in Kunming.The system dynamics simulation model predicts the changing trend of theresidential commodity housing market in Kunming.Through the real estate policy test,it studies the impact of the purchase restriction policy,financial policy and taxation policy on the residential commercial housing market.Based on the experimental analysis results,it provides suggestions for the government to formulate real estate policies.The results of this study will help to promote the sustainable,healthy and stable development of the real estate industry in Kunming with certain reference significance.