Economic Benefit And Investment Risk Research Of Natural Gas Project In Y County

with the continuous development of city construction and the growth of population,Air pollution is becoming more and more serious,and the quality of the environment is deteriorating.One of the main causes of air pollution in cities is fuel oil and coal energy use.Efficient and high quality's natural gas vehicle fuel instead of traditional gasoline,diesel oil and coal,is one of the important measures to reduce air pollution.Urban natural gas demand will be further expanded,and the government support for natural gas industry,gradually let go of the middle and lower reaches of the market,project investment of natural gas is attracting a large number of social capital.But in our country,because of the long-term implication of the planned economy mode,project investment of natural gas' s practice is short,theoretical research is still inadequate,the research methods are advanced enough.From the investor point of the project,we systematically analyze project investment of natural gas,expect to find features and inadequate of investment in natural gas projects,compare and choose three natural gas projects,which puts forward some corresponding investment advice,and provides an effective reference for rational investment activities.In this paper,to "the economic benefits and investment risk of natural gas project investment " for analysis and evaluation target,aimed at the three forms of natural gas project investment to carry on the comparison,combining with the current theoretical foundation and field investigation data,demonstrates the advantages and disadvantages in the project: Using the theory of financial efficiency and cost estimation,to estimate project investment,cost and income,it is concluded that earnings forecast;Using the theory of financial evaluation and uncertainty analysis theory,respectively analyze indicators of the three projects,launched project financial feasible;Through to the natural gas price,volume,operating costs,construction investment the analysis of sensitivity is carried out,it is concluded that project all has the ability to resist risks;Identify the influence factors of natural gas project investment risk,to a greater influence on the project risk factors and to establish index evaluation system,through the analytic hierarchy process(ahp)calculate weight of risk factors;Established on the basis of index of evaluation index system,through the analytic hierarchy process(ahp)to construct hierarchies and judgment matrix,make comprehensive evaluation in the scheme of layer project,calculate and get the optimal project for urban pipe pipeline project.Based on the research of natural gas project investment analysis theory and optimization method,looking for suitable investment analysis method,using analytic hierarchy process(ahp)to compare projects,Paper promotes the scientific and rational process of the natural gas project investment,and for the rapid development of natural gas industry has the vital significance.