Research On Real-time Electricity Price Analysis And Modeling Based On Electricity Sales Side Reform

With the accelerating pace of national economic development,electricity is becoming more and more important as the most important energy method in the social economy.Especially after entering the third industrial technological revolution represented by computer and other electronic information,electric energy has been become an important part of the national economy and people’s livelihood.As the core concepts directly affecting industry,commerce,agriculture,and people’s livelihood,electricity prices play an important role in the rational allocation of resources and adjustment of supply and demand in electricity production.Accompanied by state much starker choices-and graver consequences-in planning is put forward,by selling electricity caused by the reform of supply side side also gradually began to implement reform,its characteristic is to gradually open power sales market,the reform of electricity price policy [1],the specific involves "open to the social capital sell electricity business" and other relevant electricity price policy.Therefore,on this basis,based on the government pricing mechanism in traditional or simple comprehensive cost method of electricity pricing mechanism will be gradually eliminated,instead it is more conform to the requirements of the electric power production rule and market supply and demand of new tariff design scheme.Under the current condition of electricity market,spot price,mainly in order to be able to ensure to get the best balance between power supply and utilization,to the greatest extent to ensure smooth operation of electric power system,the main reference to specific pricing power of the long-term and short-term marginal cost.In this way,the relationship between supply and demand can be reflected dynamically.Once the user is in the state of load,appropriate adjustment is needed.Finally,users can determine the time of electricity consumption by themselves,and in combination with this indicator,the system will accurately determine the price of electricity.This article will focus on the supply and demand after the reform and exploration on the real-time electricity pricing mechanism,analyzing the background of real-time electricity price to the user in response,the relationship between the load and electricity price,electricity price and sell electricity profit mathematical model of therelationship,and according to the current instance data simulation,the real-time electricity price compared with the current electricity mechanism,validation of electricity sales reform under the background of effective rationality of real-time electricity price mechanism.Finally,combining with the current degree of power sales market reform in China,and combining with the energy of the development of the Internet,comprehensive set of electricity price mechanism during commissioning has taken corresponding solutions,and in the promotion and popularization stage design professional marketing plan,ensure the smooth promotion and popularization of the price mechanism.