Financial Analysis And Risk Control Of Oil Tea Investment Project Based On Supply Chain

Oil-tea camellia industry is a green industry integrating economic,social and ecological benefits,whose development is set as a basic national policy of China.According to the policy,lots of funds have been invested in oil-tea camellia in the past decade,thus leading to its prosperity and development.However,this has also caused some social problems at the same time.For example,some companies have made no scientific appraisal before investment,which has caused their failure to recover investments and even their bankruptcy,thus making their stakeholders suffer losses and impacting the sound development of the industry.There are risks with investment in the industry because it is characterized long investment cycle,long industry chain and demand for large capital.From the perspective of supply chain,this thesis aims at providing financial analysis and risk control research on oil-tea camellia investment projects,reference for companies that are going to invest in oil-tea camellia industry,and scientific basis for the government approval of oil-tea camellia investment projects,thus promoting the sound development of oil-tea camellia supply chain.The thesis comprehensively uses the methods of literature research,survey,interview,qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis,etc.to carry out the research.Based on the analysis of various business models of oil-tea camellia industry,the thesis selects the most representative model "company + base + farmer" for research.By analyzing its characteristics,the supply chain structure model of oil-tea camellia investment projects were constructed,and financial analysis and risk control research are conducted around core enterprises(investment&processing enterprises).The revenue composition of oil-tea camellia investment enterprises is analyzed,and the tea oil product pricing method is put forward focusing on tea oil cost-oriented method.In order to effectively forecast the revenue of investment companies,the thesis proposes to use the exponential smoothing method to predict the annual sales volume of tea oil for processing companies,and to solve the problem of enterprise revenue calculation.Based on a variety of financial analysis and evaluation indicators,a systematic study is conducted on the investment estimation,fund raising,determination of financial basic data,preparation of financial analysis reports,analysis of evaluation indicators,and sensitivity analysis of the investment projects.The risk of the investment projects based on supply chain is analyzed,main risk sources are identified and risk assessment and control are studied.considering case enterprises,the thesis verifies the effectiveness and feasibility of the financial analysis and risk control methods proposed in it.The research results of this article can provide a scientific method and reference concerning financial analysis for oil-tea camellia project investors.It provides a reference for government authorities in approving oil-tea camellia investment projects and provides reference for government authorities in approving oil-tea camellia investment projects.This will provide reference for stakeholders in the selection of supply chain partners for oil-tea camellia investment projects,helping to promote the orderly development of oil-tea camellia industry.