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Analysis Of The Main Economic Impact Factors Of China's Tourism Development

Posted on:2019-01-22Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:W LuFull Text:PDF
GTID:2429330548976974Subject:Industrial Economics
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As an important part of the tertiary industry,tourism has a very important strategic significance for promoting economic growth,increasing employment,stimulating the development of related industries,and increasing foreign exchange earnings.The report of the 19 th National Congress of the Communist Party of Chain(NPC)pointed on many occasions that “always take people's longing for a better life as a goal”.In the new era,tourism is becoming the people's longing for a better life.It has become an important channel for promoting people's all-round development and common prosperity for all people,and has become the head of the beautiful economy,health industry and happiness industry.How to grasp the opportunities for tourism development in the new era is particularly important.In this paper,we first sort out the relevant literature and theories both at home and abroad,and on this basis,we use the Pvar model to analyze the main economic factors how to affect the development of tourism and the mechanism of 31 provinces in China from 2001 to 2015,that including economic growth,industrialization and urban-rural income gap.And then,we use spatial models such as SAR and SDM to further explore the impact of changes in major economic factors on the development of tourism.What we do is to provide a basis for formulating policies to promote the development of China's tourism industry.The findings are as follows:(1)The results of SAR and PVAR indicate that the improving industrialization and the widening income gap between urban and rural will hinder the improvement of China's tourism industry,domestic and inbound tourism development.Which them in neighboring provinces also have negative effects on the local tourism developing.But the widening urban-rural income gap has promoted the development of inbound tourism.(2)The Pvar model estimation results indicate that economic growth has promoted the development of the inbound tourism industry,but the indicators of the development level of inbound tourism have not passed the spatial correlation test.So,This article focuses on the results of SAR and SDM models to analysis that The influence ofeconomic growth on China's tourism industry and domestic tourism is inverted U-shaped.With the development of economy,China's tourism industry and domestic tourism levels are increase and then decline,and the inflection point value of lnpgdp is 19.4344.At present,the average level of lnpgdp(18.9887)has not exceeded,which indicated that in the near future,the improvement of economic development still can promote the development of tourism.The results of SDM indicate that the improvement of economic development in neighboring provinces can promote the development of local tourism.According to the above conclusions,the revelation are as follows: First,improve the level of economic development and consolidate the material basis for tourism development,and also attach more importance to suppressing the development of tourism in the process of economic growth and industrialization,to insure the sustainability of tourism development;Second,integrate tourism resources and innovate tourism products;improve the tourism information platform and improve the level of tourism services;Third,suppress the income gap between urban and rural areas and expand the tourism consumer market.
Keywords/Search Tags:tourism development, main economical factors, PVAR, SAR
PDF Full Text Request
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