The Study On Per Capita Income Based On Statistical Analysis

With the development of social economy,the urban per capital disposable income is an important issue in the research of economy.In this article,we mainly study the prediction on urban per capital disposable income in Anhui province.This article is organized as follows.In the first chapter,we introduce research status of the urban per capital and the mathematical model of grey prediction,prediction of Markov,principal component analysis and factor analysis.In chapter 2,with the help of historical date of the country's 31 provinces and cities in 2018,we do principal component analysis and factor analysis with respect to related factors.Meanwhile,we give synthetic evaluation for these two methods and analyze the effects of per capita disposable income of many factors.By the principal component regression and regression equation,we also discuss influence factors and influence regular pattern for urban per capita disposable income.Our conclusions obtained in this chapter show that per capita consumption expenditure,per capita wage and house prices have great impact on per capita disposable income.In chapter 3,based on the historical data we study the prediction problem of urban per capital disposable income in Anhui province.We present the grey prediction of Markov in this chapter by three deviation change,and by correcting and reducing error we give predictive value of urban per capital disposable income in Anhui province five years later.In the last chapter,we briefly introduce our future work.