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Predictability of energy futures prices

Posted on:1999-07-24Degree:M.AType:Thesis
University:University of Calgary (Canada)Candidate:McGrath, SeanFull Text:PDF
GTID:2469390014968588Subject:Finance
Abstract/Summary:
This paper examines the debate over the predictability of asset returns. Specifically, the efficient markets approach is compared with that of technical analysis, within the context of returns in energy futures markets. It is found that, due to very different starting assumptions, a comparison of the two is difficult. While statistical deviations from the random walk exist, it is not clear that these represent an economic deviation from efficient markets.
Keywords/Search Tags:Markets
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