Analysis Of The Trade Potential Of China’s Steel Export "One Belt And One Road" Countries

Iron and steel industry is one of the key industry to support the economic development of our country,in stimulating economic growth plays an important role in our country In recent years,has been the plight of overcapacity problem more and more prominent China for the first time in 2013 put forward the important strategic idea all the way,clearly put forward the strategy,focusing on the infrastructure construction cooperation for mutual benefit and win-win principles,promote the countries around China and all the way along the route area in various aspects such as construction of the economic construction and political development One Belt And One Road The proposal of development strategy can not only promote the export of steel products in China,alleviate the problem of overcapacity faced by China’s steel industry,but also help countries in the Belt and Road region vigorously develop their own infrastructure construction through their regional advantages,and promote their continuous development and growth.This paper first on China’s steel exports to all countries in the world trade situation has carried on the overall analysis,and then from the Angle of export scale market distribution of product structure in detail elaborated the Chinese all the way along the country’s steel exports to the region Then used to calculate the RCA index to explore China’s steel exports in the competition of countries along the way,TCI index to explore China’s steel export area complementarity of countries along the way Finally on the basis of the traditional gravity model,to join the influencing factors of steel exports to expand Using Stata16.0 measurement software,from two aspects of positive and negative to the degree and the analysis of influence of China’s exports to regional countries steel factors,according to the regression equation is calculated along the China and trade potential value,combined with the actual situation of the predicted that China’s export potential of countries along the future in terms of steel,summarizes the research conclusion and put forward the corresponding countermeasures and Suggestions accordingly,in the area along the environment,looking for a new development path for the Chinese steel industry.The results of empirical analysis show that the GDP of the countries along the line,China’s steel output,the total population of the countries along the line,the openness of the countries along the line and the signing of free trade agreements will promote China’s steel export,while the geographical distance and geographical location between the two countries will inhibit China’s steel export,but the exchange rate between the currencies of the two countries will affect China’s steel export The impact of one belt,one road area is not obvious.China’s China’s one belt,one road area near the 3/5 will have broad trade cooperation space in the future.Through the summary of the research conclusions in the third,fourth and fifth chapters,the sixth chapter of this paper puts forward targeted solutions and suggestions,including optimizing the export environment,deeply understanding the steel demand of countries along the line,bringing a new round of trade growth,strengthening the infrastructure construction of countries along the line,improving the cooperation and exchange of countries along the line,etc.