Research On CNPC's Overseas LNG Resource Trade Optimization

Natural gas plays an important role in the transformation of international energy consumption and domestic energy structure adjustment.Driven by this,the global liquefied natural gas(hereinafter referred to as "LNG")market is maturing,and new changes,new features and new models are constantly emerging,which not only brings new challenges to ensuring the safe supply of domestic natural gas,but also expands LNG international trade for domestic enterprises.Business provides new opportunities and new windows.Based on this background,this paper analyzes and judges the development status and future trends of the whole industry chain of LNG international trade,explores and constructs the LNG resource trade optimization model,and uses LINGO software programming to realize the model.Combined with the relevant development data of China National Petroleum Corporation(hereinafter referred to as "Petro China")overseas LNG trading business,the use of model software on its trade operation plan for the fourth quarter of 2020,the risk of the impact of 2 types of potential instability factors and its development in 2025 The six scenario scenarios envisaged in the plan are macro-simulated and optimized.It is hoped that the economic benefits of the business can be improved and the enterprises can realize the high-quality development of the LNG trading business.Based on the calculation results of the model,the calculation and analysis are carried out based on the trade revenue,resource flow,ship capacity,and market development positioning in each scenario,and it is clear that the rebound of oil prices will boost the overall trade revenue and the "destination port restriction clause" Adverse effects of trade gains;select a combination of advantageous resources such as Russian Arctic to Europe and North America to Asia under appropriate conditions;combine seasonal demand changes and long-term planning and deployment,find potential capacity gaps,propose ship capacity allocation proposals;initially select Spain and Northeast Asia and other high-end and high-efficiency markets,put forward the resource sales strategy of "spring and winter north,summer and autumn south";propose to help key markets turn losses through flexible arrangement of long delivery time,expansion of storage capacity in summer and autumn,optimization of imported resource attributes and sources,etc.Effective;Based on the simulation scenario settings,the reference response plan under the emergency scenario is proposed.