Research On The Development Mechanism Of Low-carbon Supply Chain

In recent years,the global warming trend has intensified and extreme weather has occurred frequently.The reduction of greenhouse gas emissions mainly composed of carbon dioxide is considered to be an important way to alleviate the climate problem.The control of carbon dioxide emission reduction has attracted extensive attention from the international community,and countries around the world have taken a series of measures to jointly deal with climate change.The main source of greenhouse gases is the use of fossil energy,and its corresponding economic activities usually involve production and consumption.In the process of transforming the economic development mode,practicing new development concepts,emphasizing green development,energy conservation and emission reduction,concepts and research hotspots such as "low-carbon economy","low-carbon production" and "low-carbon consumption" have been gradually developed.This paper studies the development mechanism of low-carbon supply chain from the perspective of market vitality,which involves two major markets corresponding to the behavior patterns of consumers and enterprises in the low-carbon supply chain,namely green and low-carbon product consumption market and carbon trading market.Stimulating market vitality can provide the main participants of the supply chain with the motivation to actively reduce emissions,which is the core and key to achieve green and low-carbon development.Firstly,this paper begin to study from the end of the low-carbon supply chain,by using the combined method of evolutionary game theory and system dynamics to stimulate the green and low-carbon product consumption market vitality.Taking green and low-carbon household appliances as an example,the tripartite evolutionary game model and system dynamics model of the government,household appliance enterprises and consumers are constructed.The change of strategy is simulated with the actual data of household appliance industry.Then the stable evolution path is verified and the specific influencing factors are analyzed.Secondly,from the perspective of market vitality of carbon trading in which the upstream supply chain enterprises participate,this paper compares China’s 8 pilot carbon trading markets with the European Union carbon trading markets,which have more mature development systems.The Hurst index of each pilot market and the EU carbon market in three stages are calculated by the rescaled range analysis method to test the validity of each market.Through the analysis of carbon market which achieves weak-form market efficiency,the development experience of the effective market is obtained.Finally,the development path and countermeasures of low-carbon supply chain are proposed.The main conclusions of this paper include :(1)Government low-carbon strategy is influenced by enterprises;enterprises low-carbon strategy is influenced by consumers;consumer low-carbon strategy is influenced by both;When the low-carbon cost of household appliance enterprises is less than the income,and the low-carbon price difference is less than the environmental protection utility,the three parties have the only evolutionary and stable strategy(0,1,1),that is,the government does not need supervision,household appliance enterprises actively provide green and low-carbon household appliances,and consumers actively choose low carbon consumption;The price differential rate of green and low-carbon products should be lower than the low-carbon premium payment rate of consumers of 27.3%,and the environmental protection utility of those with low green preference should be improved jointly.(2)In the carbon market vitality studied with R/S analysis,the third stage of the EU carbon market has passed the Hurst index judgment and the results are relatively reliable;Through the study of the weak-form market efficiency third stage mechanism policy of the EU carbon market,the results show that China’s pilot carbon market still has a gap with the EU carbon market in terms of total volume setting,quota allocation,MRV system,implementation and penalty mechanism,etc.Based on this,this paper puts forward some suggestions on the construction and development of a national unified carbon market mechanism.(3)The development path of low-carbon supply chain includes supply and demand of green and low-carbon products,publicity and supervision,infrastructure construction,carbon trading market price transmission,quota setting,contract implementation,information disclosure,etc.,and puts forward countermeasures and suggestions for market development.