Jiangxi Province Inbound Tourism Market Analysis And Number Forecast

Tourism is highly comprehensive.In recent years,Jiangxi Province has also realized that the development of regional tourism is closely related to the overall economic strength of the region,and has begun to continuously tap its own resources and give full play to its ecological endowment advantages.At the same time,the provincial government has also invested funds to improve tourism-related infrastructure.These measures all mean the tourism industry of Jiangxi Province.Began to flourish upward.Therefore,an in-depth understanding and analysis of the inbound tourist source market in Jiangxi Province,and the use of sound theoretical systems and scientific statistical methods to predict the development trend of inbound tourists in Jiangxi Province in the next few years can provide for the development of tourism in Jiangxi Province.With better assistance,the analysis process also has reference value and important significance for the development of tourism in other provinces in the country.This article mainly focuses on the analysis of the source market of inbound tourism in Jiangxi Province.First,it consults the relevant documents of the inbound tourism market at home and abroad,and sorts out the research related to inbound tourism in Jiangxi Province in recent years.Through theoretical analysis,it summarizes the various tourists from the three sections.The country of origin,Jiangxi Province,and the influencing factors between the two;secondly,consult the Jiangxi Province Statistical Yearbook,China Tourism Statistical Yearbook,etc.,and sort out the data of related influencing factors to establish the Jiangxi Province inbound tourism panel data from 2013 to 2019.Distance,purchasing power parity factor,and infrastructure construction of tourist destinations.Then,by constructing an ARIMA model and using the number of inbound tourists in Jiangxi Province from 2000 to2019 as the original research data,the number of inbound tourists in Jiangxi Province in the next four years is predicted.Finally,based on the results of the empirical analysis,we deeply analyze the development status and future development trends of Jiangxi’s inbound tourism market,and can also provide effective reference opinions when relevant departments promote Jiangxi’s tourism development plan.From the above research,it can be seen that in terms of destination,the key factor in attracting the number of inbound tourists in Jiangxi Province is infrastructure construction;in terms of tourist source,the greater the purchasing power parity factor of the source of origin,the greater the The lower the demand for inbound tourism in Jiangxi Province,and the longer the geographical distance of the source of tourists,the lower the demand for inbound tourism in Jiangxi Province.Finally,the results predicted by the ARIMA model show that in the next four years from 2020 to 2023,the number of inbound tourists in Jiangxi Province will have a good growth trend.