| In recent years,the security situation in the surrounding areas of Diaoyu Island,Taiwan Strait,and South China Sea has become severe.In addition,with the promotion of the "Belt and Road" ,China needs to establish a strong maritime military force.Anti-ship missiles are essential in naval warfare,and it is urgent to develop missiles with longer combat distances,stronger breakthrough capabilities,and higher destructive power.This paper introduces a new generation of information technology,such as MBSE and virtual simulation,to transform the traditional missile development mode.Firstly,based on statistical theory combined with missile kinematics equations,this paper studies the impact of missile accompanying random motion time,anti-ship missile terminal maneuvering frequency,different flight trajectories,and interception launch timing on breakthrough probability.It proposes a Monte Carlo-based calculation and simulation method for missile breakthrough probability.Secondly,based on MBSE interactive simulation technology,it proposes a missile breakthrough task design and joint simulation framework driven by system models,constructs a three-dimensional combat scenario and weapon equipment behavior model,and develops a missile breakthrough probability simulation platform.Thirdly,it introduces the simulation idea of human in the loop and simulates the actual combat process of anti-ship missiles by adding "human in the loop" design in the system-level model.Finally,it verifies the feasibility of the joint design and simulation framework by evaluating the breakthrough efficiency of anti-ship missiles in attacking enemy fleets in maritime warfare.By combining MBSE,virtual prototype technology,human in the loop,and model-driven ideas and using the joint task analysis design and simulation framework proposed in this paper,the efficiency of missile and other weapon equipment development can be improved,development costs can be reduced,and the performance of weapon equipment can be enhanced.This provides a new digital means for the development of weapon equipment systems. |