Impact Study On Import Of Beef To Chinese Beef Market

With the rapid development of China’s market economy,the progress of society and the continuous improvement of national income level,residents’ food consumption habits are also accompanied by the rigid rise of beef consumption demand,but the beef supply cannot meet the demand,beef import has increased rapidly,and the domestic beef market has been impacted to a certain extent.Therefore,through in-depth study of beef import price and import and other related factors on the domestic beef market,and comprehensive analysis of the impact of import on the market.to correctly assess the positive impact of beef import on the domestic beef market,this is of great significance to prevent the negative impact of import,can establish and improve the beef import trade system and domestic beef market development policy provides important decision reference basis.In recent years,scholars at home and abroad have paid more and more attention to the economic impact of import trade.Most of the existing studies have studied the global trade status,import and export structure and market competitiveness of meat products from the perspective of import and export of meat products.The above relevant research results have laid a solid foundation for this study.However,there are some aspects of the existing research to be improved and expanded,which also provides some space for this study.Based on the theory of market supply,demand and price conduction,analyzing the reasons of the beef import,collecting the data from 2009-2020-20,combining the VAR model on the beef import price and import influence and degree,which provides the decision basis for the balance of domestic and foreign market.This study draws the following conclusions:(1)Most of China’s beef import trade source for South America,Australia,New Zealand and Pakistan,beef import trade risk of certain import dependence,in addition to beef products import concentration,China’s import dependence is significantly improved,self-sufficiency rate dropped significantly,market control is also showing a downward trend,seriously threatened the safe development of the market.The most fundamental factor for the increase of beef products is the shortage of China’s own supply of beef,which cannot be fundamentally improved for a short time,and the quality is difficult to resist the impact brought by foreign imports.The most important factor affecting the competitiveness of the beef cattle industry is that the cost of beef cattle raising is too high,resulting in the price lack of competitiveness and quality unable to adapt to more requirements.(2)calculates through the model that the impact of imported beef price on domestic beef price showed a growing trend,reaching a peak of 29%when the model is five months.Since then,it has been stable at this level,indicating that the impact of imported price on domestic beef price lags for half a year.(3)calculates through the model that the market share of domestic beef production is maintained at more than 82%,and the contribution rate of beef imports to 17%to the changes of domestic beef market is 1 8%.(4)It is suggested that China should take measures to import beef:promote the diversification of beef import sources,reduce the risk of market fluctuations,strengthen local government support policies and guarantee to enhance the comprehensive production capacity of domestic beef;increase technical investment,improve international competitiveness and other measures to ensure the sustainable development of China’s beef market.There are two innovation points in this article.One is that the impact of imported beef on domestic beef prices is 29%,and the impact of imported beef price on the domestic beef market in half a year;the contribution rate of measured beef imports to domestic beef market changes is 17%-18%.