| In the context of the comprehensive implementation of the strategy of rural revitalization,the key to realizing the modernization of rural areas,agriculture and farmers lies in the integration of rural industries,and the realization of rural industrial integration is inseparable from the important cornerstone of financial support.At present,the financial support mode of rural industrial integration is mainly divided into two types,namely government-led financial support and market-led financial support,and their mechanisms and implementation effects are different.Therefore,taking Anhui as an example,this paper explores the operation mechanism and development path of financial support under different leading modes from the development status of financial support in rural industrial integration,which is of profound and important practical significance for accelerating the process of industrial integration,boosting the vitality of rural economic development,and promoting the deepening of rural revitalization strategy.Based on the above research background,this paper first sorts out relevant literature at home and abroad,sorts out and condenses the connotation of rural industrial integration and financial support,and expounds the related theories of industrial integration and industrial finance.Secondly,from the perspective of financial supply and demand,game theory is used to discuss the necessity of finance to support rural industrial integration,and the current situation and existing problems of financial supply and demand are analyzed based on the practice of rural industrial integration in Anhui,and on this basis,evolutionary games are used to explore the conditions for financial supply and demand to achieve equilibrium under different dominant modes.Then,this paper introduces in detail how government-led financial support acts on rural industrial integration through signal transmission,resource replenishment,resource replacement mechanism and market-led financial support through resource allocation,information disclosure,and risk diversification mechanism,and analyzes the evolution mechanism of financial support for rural industrial integration in Anhui,which lays a theoretical foundation for the development of the following empirical evidence.Then,the entropy method was used to quantitatively analyze the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics,dynamic evolution of distribution,relative regional differences and their sources of financial support in rural industrial integration and different dominant modes in Anhui Province,combined with Arc GIS and kernel density estimation and Dagum Gini coefficient,and further explored the relationship between financial support and rural industrial integration under different dominant modes by using the Moran index and econometric regression model.Finally,based on the research results,this paper puts forward corresponding policy suggestions from the macro,meso and micro levels.According to the above research,the main conclusions reached in this paper are as follows: first,from the perspective of time evolution,the development level of rural industrial integration and market-led financial support shows a fluctuating growth trend,while the overall development level of government-led financial support shows a fluctuating downward trend;From the perspective of spatial evolution,the level of rural industrial integration and market-led financial support in central Anhui is higher than that in northern Anhui and southern Anhui,and high values appear in Hefei,while the spatial distribution of government-led financial support is not obvious,and most of them are at the medium,low and medium levels.Second,both rural industrial integration and market-led financial support showed obvious "non-equilibrium characteristics",while the non-equilibrium of government-led financial support weakened,and the overall difference and change of the development level of rural industrial integration changed from mainly affected by interregional differences to supervariable density,while the overall difference and change of government-led financial support and market-led financial support were stable and affected by interregional differences.Third,rural industrial integration has spatial correlation,from the perspective of agglomeration effect,the "high-high" distribution area is mainly concentrated in the He-Wu-Ma urban agglomeration,and the "low-low" distribution area is mainly concentrated in northern Anhui,and the econometric model is found to show that market-led financial support has a significant role in promoting rural industrial integration,while there is an "inverted U-shape" relationship between government-led financial support and rural industrial integration,and the spatial effect of the two modes is significant.Finally,given the inverted U-shaped relationship between government-led financial support and rural industrial integration,this paper uses a gray model to predict it,and concludes that the inflection point will occur between 2035 and 2040.Based on this result,this paper concludes that with the development of rural industrial integration and the improvement of rural financial markets,the government-led financial support will gradually withdraw after 2035,and the role will return to financial supervision,when the increasingly perfect system can better play the financial support based on the market mechanism. |
