Case Study On The Influence Of International Oil Price Fluctuation On The Involvement Of Oil Rent-seeking Countries In Violent Conflicts In The Middle East

This paper mainly analyzes the correlation between the oil rent-seeking economy of the oil countries in the Middle East and their involvement in violent conflicts,respectively from two aspects of the rise and fall of oil prices,and uses the methods of case study and data study to analyze the relevant events and data.When international oil prices rise sharply,oil export earnings will bring huge wealth to these Middle East oil rent-seeking countries,and countries will use these funds to purchase military equipment and strengthen their own military capacity-building.When conflicts arise,they are more willing to use military means to resolve them,which intensifies the risk of these countries being involved in violent conflicts.When international oil prices fall sharply,the fiscal revenue of countries dependent on oil wealth will decrease,and their economic development will encounter difficulties.They will be more inclined to take measures such as plundering the resources of neighboring countries and reducing investment in the social welfare of their people to try to balance their income and expenditure and tide over the crisis,which will lead to resistance of neighboring countries(war between countries)and public discontent(domestic social unrest).It also increases the risk of these oil rent-seeking countries getting involved in violent conflicts.The innovation of this paper lies in the use of case studies and data studies to analyze the impact of oil price fluctuations on national violent conflicts.Its research significance is that for these countries,if they do not reform their economic structure and reduce their dependence on oil resources,violent conflicts will still go hand in hand;for China,it can provide an observation perspective for ensuring China’s oil security and reducing the risk of overseas investment of enterprises.