Research On The Influencing Factors And Effects Of Regional Energy Mismatch Under The Background Of "Carbon Neutralization"

At the beginning of the reform,a large amount of investment in resource factors made China’s economy grow rapidly and continuously.Under the background that China’s economy has entered the new normal,economic development has been seriously affected by the extensive energy consumption model.The mismatch problem of resource element allocation has become increasingly prominent.The problem of resource mismatch refers to the unreasonable allocation of land,human resources,energy and other resources in the market.Among them,as a non renewable energy,the national green transformation has always been the focus of our government’s attention and efforts.At present,China’s realization of the strategic goal of "carbon neutrality" has become the common expectation of the whole society.However,how to achieve the coordinated development of economy,society and the ecological environment while ensuring green and sustainable economic growth,not only depends on the innovative development of science and technology,but also needs to optimize the energy mismatch.Under the background of "carbon neutrality",based on the panel data of regional energy in China,with energy mismatch as the focus,the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2000 to 2020 are taken as the research object.The elasticity of energy output of each province is estimated through the C-D production function with constant returns to scale and LSDV model,and the energy mismatch index is measured by calculating the price distortion coefficient.The results show that there are differences in energy mismatch in 30 regions to varying degrees,among which the energy mismatch index in the east,middle and northeast regions is almost greater than zero,and the energy allocation is insufficient,while the energy mismatch index in the west regions is generally less than zero.Build a spatial econometric model to analyze the factors affecting energy mismatch.Among them,the improvement of science and technology,government intervention,transportation construction and marketization level can significantly inhibit regional energy mismatch and improve the degree of energy distortion.However,the level of opening to the outside world has no significant impact on the energy mismatch,indicating that the current level of opening to the outside world is not conducive to the effective allocation of energy.Then,the unexpected output SBM model is used to measure China’s provincial carbon emission efficiency,and the spatial Dubin model is used to analyze the impact of energy mismatch on carbon emission efficiency and its spatial effect.The results show that the energy mismatch index will have a negative effect on carbon emission efficiency and can reduce carbon emission efficiency.The level of technological development,economic development and regional openness can promote the improvement of carbon emission efficiency to varying degrees,and show a positive spatial spillover effect,while the level of urbanization has no significant impact on the promotion of carbon emission efficiency.Through the analysis of intermediary effect and regulatory effect,it can be seen that reducing the proportion of coal consumption in the energy structure can reduce the degree of energy mismatch and thus have a positive impact on carbon emission efficiency.At the same time,the optimization of the energy structure can adjust the negative effect of energy mismatch on carbon emission efficiency.According to the research results,reasonable and effective policy suggestions are put forward on how to improve the energy mismatch and carbon emission efficiency to improve the energy mismatch.