Study On The Influence Of Carbon Tariff On The Export Of Chinese Textile And Clothing Industry

In 2021,the EU proposed the draft legislation of "carbon border regulation mechanism".The carbon border regulation mechanism is intended to protect vulnerable industries and employment in the country,but it also violates the concept of free trade and will inevitably affect the welfare of exporting countries.In 2021,the export volume of textile and garment products will hit a record high,accounting for a relatively high proportion in China’s export products,and the export growth rate of this industry will also show a relatively high level.Although our country is the largest textile country in the world,it has problems of low-end lock.Meanwhile,the textile and garment industry is the second largest pollution industry in our country,and its carbon emissions are always in the highest level.Due to the lack of certain low-carbon technologies in China,with the rapid growth of the production and export of China’s textile and garment industry,it is difficult to rapidly reduce carbon emissions in the short term.Once the carbon tariff is imposed,it will inevitably cause a series of impacts on the export of the textile and garment industry.Based on the review of domestic and foreign literature,this paper is divided into two parts for empirical research.The first part integrates the input output extension table of 156 sectors into 44 sectors in 2020.The textile and garment industry is subdivided into three industries: textile industry,clothing industry,leather and fur industry and shoe industry.The input-output analysis method is used to calculate the implied carbon emission of textile and clothing industry.It is concluded that the implied carbon emission of Chinese textile industry is the highest,followed by clothing industry.At the same time,this paper also calculated the export embodied carbon emissions of China’s textile and apparel industry from 2014 to 2020.From the trend,the export embodied carbon of China’s garment industry decreased rapidly from2014 to 2016,and the decline rate slowed down from 2017 to 2019.In 2020,China’s textile industry was affected by the epidemic,and the mass production and export of medical supplies such as masks led to a rapid increase in the carbon emissions implied by the export of China’s textile and clothing industry.The second part calculates the carbon tariff rate according to the calculated hidden carbon emission data,the three levels of carbon tariff collection standard predicted internationally and the proposed carbon tariff collection method proposed by the Clean Energy Act of 2022 in the United States.Based on dynamic recursion,GTAP is used to simulate the impact of carbon tariff on output,export volume,export price,capital and labor demand of Chinese textile and garment industry.It is concluded that the carbon tariff imposed by European and American countries on our textile and garment industry will have a negative effect on the export of our textile and garment industry.Under the three tax rates,the export volume of our textile and clothing industry decreases by 7.0506%～33.0535%,the export price decreases by0.0581%～0.1762%,and the terms of trade deteriorates by 0.0044%～0.1218%.At the same time,the capital demand of our textile and garment industry will be reduced by0.6336%～3.4139%,and the financing difficulty of textile and garment export enterprises will be increased,which is not conducive to the development of the industry.With the increase of carbon tariff,the negative effect on our textile and clothing industry will be more significant.Based on the above research conclusions,this paper puts forward the following suggestions: First,improve the domestic carbon trading system,include the textile and clothing industry into the pilot scope first,form carbon emission reduction through the domestic carbon market,and reduce carbon tariff payment.Second,we should participate in the establishment of an international carbon pricing mechanism,improve the carbon emission accounting system,and increase the voice of discourse.The third is to accelerate the green production of textile and garment enterprises.Fourth,we will provide financing,technical support and job security for small and medium-sized textile and garment enterprises.