| Our country attaches great importance to the issue of global climate warming.The industrial industry leads the rapid economic growth in China for a long time,and it is also the main emission industry.As a component of the Yangtze River Delta Economic Belt,Anhui Province’s industrial industry,as the main field of energy consumption and carbon emissions,also plays a certain role in the national industrial development.Therefore,the analysis of industrial carbon emissions in Anhui Province is not only conducive to the green development of industrial economy in Anhui Province,but also of great significance to promote the overall realization of carbon peak in ChinaIn this paper,combined with the IPCC and the provincial greenhouse gas inventory preparation guide measure of building,including energy combustion process,power consumption and emissions of carbon emissions calculation model,from 2005 to 2020 in anhui province overall industrial carbon emissions and regional carbon emissions,accounting,analysis of the industrial development trend,energy consumption and carbon emissions.On the basis of the use of GDIM factor decomposition model to explore the influencing factors of the carbon,analyzes the industrial added value,industry employed population,industrial energy consumption,carbon emissions intensity,the strength of industrial energy consumption,industrial energy consumption per capita carbon emissions and carbon intensity,industrial industrial added value of per capita the eight factors contribution to carbon emissions change in anhui province.Based on the analysis results of the main driving factors,combined with Tapio model,the relationship between industrial carbon emissions and economic development in Anhui province was further explored,and the decoupling elastic coefficients of the industry in Anhui Province and the industries in central Anhui,southern Anhui and northern Anhui were calculated,and their change trends were analyzed.The following conclusions are obtained based on the industrial development status of Anhui Province:Overall,the industrial carbon emissions in Anhui Province showed a trend of first growth and then steady growth,with a fast growth rate.Among them,the proportion of carbon emissions generated by energy consumption is relatively high,and the proportion of process emissions is relatively low,but always keeps rising steadily.Industrial energy consumption intensity and carbon emission intensity showed a downward trend on the whole,but the rate of decline slowed down after 2011.From the perspective of energy structure,the industry of Anhui Province is highly dependent on raw coal,and the consumption structure of fossil energy is unreasonable.Electricity consumption mainly comes from thermal power enterprises in the province,and clean energy such as hydropower accounts for a small proportion.From the regional point of view,the industrial carbon emissions in Anhui Province are mainly in the southern and northern Anhui,and the emissions in the central Anhui province are relatively small.Output scale effect has always been the main driving factor of industrial carbon emissions in Anhui Province.The scale effect of energy consumption has always been the driving effect;The driving effect of the population size effect continues to weaken,until the 13 th Five-Year Plan period has a restraining effect on the increase of industrial carbon emissions.The per capita carbon emission effect is influenced by the reduction of the number of industrial employees.The cumulative impact of other factors on industrial carbon emissions in Anhui Province during the 13 th Five-Year Plan period is the inhibiting effect.The decoupling effect of industrial carbon emissions in Anhui Province is mainly weak,and the decoupling status fluctuates greatly.It can be roughly divided into three stages: weak decoupling before 2011,poor decoupling status from 2011 to 2015,and good decoupling status from 2015 to poor;From the analysis of regional decoupling status,the central Anhui province is the center of industrial economy in Anhui Province,and the decoupling status is the best.The decoupling elasticity of southern Anhui is slightly worse than that of central Anhui in the early stage,and better than that in the late stage.In general,the resilience of decoupling in northern Anhui was the worst,but it improved significantly after 2015,and the potential of carbon emission reduction and industrial green development was large.According to the research conclusions,the following suggestions are put forward:(1)optimizing the industrial structure of industrial industries,including the adjustment of industrial layout and the optimization of high-polluting enterprises;(2)Actively promote the low-carbon energy transformation,realize the energy-saving mining and efficient utilization of coal energy,and vigorously promote the development and use of renewable energy;(3)Change the mode of industrial development,attach importance to the innovation ability of enterprises and the level of industrial modernization,and pursue the green and high-quality development of industry.Figure [15] Table [8] Reference [93]... |
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