Study On Active Immune System Of Unconventional Emergency Management Based On Immunology Theory

Surrounding the core issue on active immune system of abnormal emergency management based on immunology theory, this dissertation has conducted researches along such a technical route as construction of theoretical framework of active immune system of abnormal emergency management→proposal of active immune system model of abnormal emergency management→simulation of system model→comprehensive assessment on capability of active immune system of abnormal emergency management. The purpose of this dissertation is to enrich and improve emergency management theory to guide the abnormal emergency prevention and response. The text is composed of five main parts.(1) Theoretic foundamentals of abnormal emergency management. Based on previous research results, the author summaries the theories of emergency management, complex systems and immunology; identifies the significances of these theories to make research on emergency management; and adopts them as basic theories and procedures for the research on abnormal emergency management.(2) Occurrence and evolution mechanism of abnormal emergency and its early-warming management. The definitions, features, and classifications of abnormal emergency are firstly defined. Then the occurrence and evolution mechanism of abnormal emergency are analyzed. Furthermore, the main restricting factors in China's abnormal emergency early-warning management are put on emphasis. Based on which the most critical issue in abnormal early-warning management is to improve the efficiency of early-warning management, which could be solved by quick recognition of risks of abnormal emergency and appropriate generation of emergency preplan.(3) Construction of active immune system of abnormal emergency management. The definitions and features of active immune and active immune system of emergency management are described, based on the significances of application of biological immune theory to abnormal emergency management. The basic framework of active immune system of abnormal emergency management is established. The emphasis has been put on the construction principles, elements, structure, functions, and operation mechanism of active immune system of abnormal emergency management.(4) Active immune system model of abnormal emergency management and its simulation. The active immune system model of abnormal emergency management is explored. The critical issues on generation and optimization of risk recognizer, generation and evolution of emergency preplan, and renovation of emergency preplan memory are analyzed. Besides, the author makes analog simulation of the system model with the empirical data of SARS.(5) Comprehensive assessment on capability of active immune system of abnormal emergency management. Based on the relevant researches on comprehensive capability assessment of active immune system of abnormal emergency management, an active immune system capability assessment indicator system for China is put forth and a multi-hierarchy fuzzy comprehensive assessment model is developed. Ultimately, an empirical analysis on abnormal emergency management in China is conducted.This dissertation is sub-project result of Multi-Agent Active Defense System of Abnormal Emergency Management Based on Immunology (Grant No.91024020), which is one of the major research cultivation projects of National Natural Science Foundation in China.