A Study On The Factors Of China-EU Textile Trade

Textile industry has been one of the important areas for the economic and trade exchanges between China and Europe since Chinese Reform and Opening-up. Europe market is the most important target area which Chinese textile exports to, as the three largest importer of textile in the world. Especially since cancelling the International textile and apparel quota system in1st Jan,2005, the international textile business between China and Europe is more osculation. There are more attritions and issues in bilateral trade between China and Europe. Especially during Europe debts crisis in2009, the future of bilateral trade between China and Europe is full of indeterminacy. So we should renew to scan of the matter of unbalance and influencing factors of China-EU bilateral textile trade, and probe into the principal elements which influencing the China-EU bilateral international textile trade through economic theory, evaluate comprehensively the tangible impact of Europe debts crisis for China-EU bilateral textile trade and discuss the strategic focus and concrete measures of persist enlarging China-EU bilateral textile trade.This dissertation will be based on the demand for researching. The dissertation will bring forward some theories on the premise of overall review the researching and theoretical basis of China-EU bilateral textile trade. Above all, from a historical perspective, overall review the course of development and the main features of China-EU bilateral textile trade through taking advantage of statistical analysis method, and choose the appropriate data of China-EU bilateral trade and the intra-industry trade index in order to probe into the characters of China-EU bilateral trade. Secondly, probe into the basic elements which influencing the China-EU bilateral trade based on the aspects of demands, supplies and policy etc., at the same time made the a positive analysis for one of the main elements which effects the China-EU bilateral trade. Thirdly, take advantage of trade cost measure model for demonstration probing into the cost and the influencing elements of China-EU bilateral textile trade. And then, focus on the data of China-EU bilateral textile trade after2009, take advantage of demonstration methods, make a research for the influencing of Europe debt crisis which effecting the textile trade between China and Europe. At last, taking forward the concrete measures for developing China-EU bilateral trade based on summarize the basic principal and strategic focus of developing textile trade between China and Europe. The concrete content as below:Chapter One:introduction. The introduction clarifies the main signification of researching the China-EU bilateral textile trade. The chapter analysis the background of recent China-EU textile trade through the realism of the developing inters EU, the influence of international crisis for China and aspects of the demands of China-EU textile trade, simultaneity introduce the significant meaning of researching China-EU textile trade through theory and realism. And then the chapter makes a synthesis and evaluation based on three points of view of China-EU international trade and China-EU bilateral textile trade and the China-EU bilateral textile trade friction. At last, the chapter introduces the mentality, content, methods of the dissertation and explains the innovating and defects of the dissertation.Chapter Two:the chapter comprehensive sorts the theory basic of China-EU bilateral textile trade. The chapter starts from the existing development of the theory of international trade, introducing the basic theory of China-EU textile trade, and focusing on China-EU bilateral textile trade imbalance adjustment theory to explore existing international trade theory, at last put forward the frame theory for researching China-EU bilateral textile trade.Chapter Three:the chapter conclude summarize the main characters of China-EU bilateral textile trade based on its historical developments, and make a demonstration estimate for focusing on the its inter characters of the inter industry (the SITC26SITC65and SITC84), so that make a demonstration inspection and stat prove for it include three sorts of bilateral textile trade whether belong to intra-industry trade or inter-industry trade.Chapter Four:the chapter probes into main elements which influencing China-EU bilateral textile trade through demand, supply, policy and environments, and takes advantage of the methods of Unit root test and cointegration analysis, demonstration summaries the recent main elements which effects the Chia-EU bilateral textile trade. Chapter Five:taking advantage of Novy trade flows model to design a new model of trade gravity for overall measures the cost of China-EU bilateral textile trade, and demonstrate calculate the average cost of China-EU bilateral textile trade; and then taking advantage of panel data model for probing into the main elements of China-EU bilateral textile trade which influencing the cost of trade; at last, in virtue of the of amend Novy gravity model to demonstration validate for China-EU bilateral textile trade costs explain the decline in bilateral trade growth; and probe into the main elements of decline trade cost which actual impact of the growth of China-EU bilateral textile trade.Chapter Six:On the basis of comprehensive review of the course and development characteristics of European debt crisis and its influences to the global economy, using the method of statistical analysis focus on analysis of the specific impact of the European debt crisis on Chinese products of classic SITC26,SITC65and SITC84.And at the same time, explore the main conduction path of European debt crisis on the impact of the China-EU bilateral textile trade, finally use the panel cointegration analysis method, and empirical panel data model design to discuss the actual impact of the European debt crisis on China-EU bilateral textile trade.Chapter Seven:On the basis of discussing the basic principles of the development of China-EU bilateral textile trade and strategic focus, put forward concrete policies and measures that China will promote China-EU bilateral trade in textiles.