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Study Of Game Theory And Related Theories ' Practical Application On Regional Agricultural Production Resources Reallocation

Posted on:2001-11-16Degree:DoctorType:Dissertation
Country:ChinaCandidate:Q H ZhuFull Text:PDF
GTID:1116360002452100Subject:Management Science and Engineering
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
This dissertation talks about regional agricultural production resources reallocation(APRR). It tries to analyze how agricultural products?producers maximize the regional profits through the game and cooperation with game theory and some other related theories such as prediction, decision, search and choice theory. It mainly includes: 1. establishing the game model of regional APRR On the base of the agricultural products?industry characteristics?analysis, this dissertation combines and improves the classical models of game, Cournot model and Betrand model, and establishes the game model of regional APRR, namely, the model of output decision model and price decision model. 2. drawing the outline of non-cooperative incomplete information game model basing on prediction As for incomplete information game, the definition of common knowledge and type is the key to solve practical problems. This dissertation defines requirement function as common knowledge, and defines according probability as type. Then it establishes incomplete information game model to analyze regional APRR. 3. talking about new products?search and choice under the condition of imperfect information and incomplete information basing on prediction In some documents such as document [130],[l33], they only consider incomplete information while studying decision problems. In other documents such as document [127], though they consider both incomplete information and imperfect information, they don抰 consider the two together. Such methods are difficult to solve practical problems. This dissertation talks about new products?search and choice of APRR by considering incomplete information and imperfect information at the same time. 4. putting forward a multi-rules prediction method of regional resources reallocation One key problem of this dissertation is the prediction of requirement, which is the base to establish cooperative and non-cooperative game models. Regional APRR is usually decided by the price of last year, which has high uncertainty and risk. Except the factor of price, this dissertation puts forward a predicting method which considers factors of climate and consumerst income while predicting requirement, and considers output per acre and policies while predicting supply. Finally, this dissertation analyzes an example, which basically shows the validity of above methods and models. Moreover, these methods and models can also be used to solve similar problems such as competition among group enterprises, the development of universities, and even the personal improvement.
Keywords/Search Tags:resources reallocation, game, cooperative game, non-cooperative game, complete information, perfect information, incomplete information, imperfect information, search and choice theory
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