Harmonious Development Of Regional Energy, Environment And Economy

Setting about to realize harmonious development of energy,enviornment and economy,the basic theory and decision-making method system of energy resources development in Shanxi province is discussed in the dissertation.The harmonious development stratigy analysis of energy development is carried on emphatically. The investment portfolio is carried on to the strategic palns which are obtained from above mentioned analysis, and concrete implementation of each plan is conceived simultaneously. Through analysis, the coordinated energy, environment and economy system is established.With the system, the energy resources, especially coal resource of Shanxi province will be exploited and utilized effectively.The main contributions in this dissertation are as follows:(1)In view of the risk characteristic of energy project investment,portfolio theory is used for reference and random variable strategic situation is introduced in the process of investment decision-making,so investment proportion of every strategic plan is determined by this way;(2)Studing the energy problems on the basis of harmonious development, integrating every key element which has relation with efficient exploitation and utilization of energy, especially taking environment factor as the main body of the system, the idea of harmonious development of energy,environment protection and economy is carried out through all the dissertation;(3)Applying two forecast methods——multivariate linear regression analysis and rough guess of main coal consumption departments, combining quantitative and qualitative analyses, the coal demand of Shanxi province during the eleventh five year plan period is calculated.When forecasted by way of rough guess, the influences of policy and technical changes are taken into consider to ensure the forecaste precision;(4)At present, the difference of district,developing periods and developing levels are not taken into account in most of similar research,no organizational,feasible and general analysis methods and appraise system are formed, and the district research achievement is insufficient especially. Guided by integrated and systematic principle, applying comprehensive quantitative analysis methods such as IFE matrix, EFE matrix, IE matrix, AHP and QSPM matrix,constructing SWOT analysis model, a basic frame of harmonious development system of energy,environment and economy which is more suitable is built up in this dissertation. A set of theory including pattern, category, mechanism and method which is contributed to the realization of coal ecology industry is discussed and the concept, mechanism and method of coal industry cluster according to coal resource's character is put forward.The limitation such as the difficult of describing the pace of economic growth and the change of economic system of econometrics model is avoided.Using theories such as industrial economy, regional economy, portfolio, ecology economy, circulation economy, coal chemical as well as environmental engineering, collecting domestic and foreign related energy development examples widely, making massive investigation to existing management, development policy and trend of coal industry of Shanxi province, unifying qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis, taking attention to the feasibility, a set of coal primarily regional energy sustainable development theory is explored.