Research On The Effects And Influential Factors Of Service Intra-industry Trade In China

In the long history , the form of internatioal trade is becoming more and more diverse owing to its changes. As one of the most important forms of international trade, intra-industry trade has developed rapidly since World Warâ…¡.The emergence of intra-industry trade provided a new point of view for researching international trade. Many countries'industrial structure has greatly changed since World Warâ…¡.And the service industry is becoming more and more important. It is possible for developing service trade while service industry has developed smoothly at home. As the representative of developing countries ,the service industry of China started fairly late and backward compared with the developed countries or aeras. Major efforts should be devoted to develop service industry of China in the future according to the developed countries'state. Therefore, it is necessary to study the effects of service intra-industry trade in China causes and the factors affect it.The dissertation discusses relevant issues through the way of combining vertical and horizontal comparison methods. It introduces the situation of service intra-industry vertically and analyses the level of service intra-industry trade in China among the world horizontally. By using econometrics means such as co-intergration theory, error correction model, ADF test, Johansen test, Granger causality test and other modern mathematical analysis methods, this paper analyzes the factors that can influence China intra-industry trade. Meantime, it also analyzes the causation among the factors through the Granger Causality test.This study arguments the effects of service intra-industry trade in China on the basis of the microeconomics theory. The main contents of this research include four parts:The first part include introduction and the first chapter. The introduction shows the paper's background and significance. And it summarizes the intra-industry trade and service intra-industry trade from the view of theoretical research and empirical research. After that, it gives corespondant comments. In the first chapter the paper introduces the relative theory of service intra-industry trade. Beginning with the classification of service , it defines the meaning of service intra-industry trade. Then it gives the ways of measuring service intra-industry trade and comment them. In this part, the paper also analyzes the applicability of tradional intra-industry trade theory.The second part include the second chapter. It shows the situation of service intra-industry trade in China. From the development of service industry at home to the development of service trade in China, it analyzes general state, attracting investment and FDI of China service industry and the situation of Chian service industry structure. In the part of China serbice trade, the paper ananlyzes China service trade'competitive strength through the way of qualitative analysis and quantitative ananlysis. Meanwhile, it compares China to other representative countries or areas. This paper believes that the competitive strength of service trade in China is fairly weak.It exits tremendous gap when compared to USA, England, France, Hongkong and etc. In the part of service intra-industry trade in China, it analyzes China service intra-industry trade's general state and structural state through the way of measuring service intra-industry trade. It holds that the level of service intra-industry trade in China is quite high, compared to the representative countries and areas. Some industries'degree of intra-industry trade is rather high.These industries include travel, communication, consultation, advertisement, other commercial service and not mentioned service elsewhere. Some industries embody a certain degree of intra-industry trade. These industries involve transportation, building and computer. Other industries show the tendency of inter-industry trade.The third part consists of the third chapter and the fourth chapter. The third chapter discourses upon the factors influencing service intra-industry trade in China through mathematical analysis methods. It leads to the conclusion that there is steady equilibrium among IIT, STS, STD and FDI. And the relationship between IIT and FDI can be expressed through linear relation. There isn't linear relation among IIT, STS and STD. Furthermore, STS,STD and FDI are Granger Causes of IIT. Meanwhile, IIT is not Granger cause of above factors.The fourth chapter discusses the effects of service intra-industry trade in China. It mainly covers anti-dumping and intra-corporation trade from the view of micro level; service cluster from middle view; national welfare and economic growth from the opinion of macro level. This chapter talks over the anti-dumping effect using Brander-Krugman model and cost-benefit analysis. These two methods both demonstrate that service enterprises in China should protect their benefits by applying the anti-dumping measures. It sets forth intra-corporation trade effect using amended Brander-Krugman model, Jiandong Ju model and AJ model. The paper deems that multinational corporation of service in China will be enlarged while transaction costs increasing. Service intra-industry trade in China will be reduced when the service products'elasticity of substitution between China and the other country descends.The chapter expounds the service cluster from the notion of service cluster's mechanism. It also analyzes the phenomenon of service cluster in Beijing. Then it studies the national welfare by Lancaster model and concludes national welfare will be added through service intra-industry trade in China . It researches on economic growth through linear regression model. The thesis considers that service intra-industry trade in China will be promote economic growth of China, but the index of GDP and IIT can't be expressed by simple linear relation.The fourth part is composed of the fifth chapter. It suggests that the government should develop service intra-industry trade in China greatly from many aspect. These aspects consist of handling strategic policy of service trade, regulating the ststistics of service trade, signing agreement on service trade, legislating on service trade and reforming management system on service trade.