On A Production Game Model And Its Complex Dynamics In An Adnascent-Transfer Supply Chain

There are more and more researches on the application of complex dynamics to economics and management. As a dynamic system of economics and management, a supply chain contains various linear and nonlinear relationships which can lead complex behavior. A supply chain system usually is affected by the environment. The supply chain's status always varies with time, which makes the supply chain's behavior more complex and more unpredictable. There is no researcher to study how the dynamic characteristics of a supply chain lead complex dynamical behavior. The former researches' emphasis is the chaos negative effects on a supply chain, but Huang has proved that, in some sense, chaos is beneficial not only to all oligopolistic firms but also to the economy as a whole.With the nonlinear dynamics theories, the dissertation analyzes output game relationship among remembers in an adnascent-transfer supply chain, takes a game dynamics model, studies its complex dynamics behavior, and makes a case on the model. The main content of this dissertation is as follows:First, the dissertation presents the definition and topology structure of an adnascent-transfer supply chain, and builds a dynamics model of output game among remembers with bounded rationality,enriches modeling theory of dynamic game.Second, with the nonlinear dynamics theories, the dissertation analyzes the dynamics game model of an adnascent-transfer supply chain, performs some numerical simulation and make some corresponding explanation in economics.Third, with chaos control and anti-control theories, the dissertation builds control and anti-control game models of an adnascent-transfer supply chain respectively, makes some qualitative analysis and numerical simulation, compares some typical control and anti-control projects.At last, for the two supply chains case of HYRD and HDTR, the dissertation obtains their output game dynamics models with nonlinear Least-Squares, and makes corresponding complex dynamics analysis and explanation in economics.The dissertation's model is derived from real world. It not only can provide theoretical basis for an enterprise to build this type supply chain, but also can give intellectual support for a government to control or anti-control it.