A Study On Trade In Value-added In China Under The Change Of Factors Supply

This dissertation used a general equilibrium analysis framework to study the effects of factors changes on trade in value-added. We also combined this framework with the trend of factors in China. On the basis of literature review about trade in value-added and effects of factors changes, we constructed a general equilibrium model about trade in value-added to illustrate effects of factors changes on trade in value-added and get the theory conclusion. In order to validate the conclusion and analysis the effects of factors changes on trade in value-added in China, we used the computable general equilibrium (CGE) and the actual data to simulate the change of economic situation such as labor reduction? capital flow reversion and the factors changes under the integration of international trade and FDI. In order to measure the changes of trade in value-added in China more efficiently, we construct the international input-output table basing on simulation data. This paper also used the CGE and the international input-output table to measure the effects of relative solutions, such as changing the structure of labor force and improving the quality of labor force. Specifically, this dissertation contained the following seven chapters:Chapter I is the introduction. This chapter expounded the research background and significance. The chapter also summarized relevant literatures about trade in value-added and effects of factors changes. It also introduced the research ideas?methods and the main content, combined with the main innovation and the deficiency.Chapter II presented the related theories about trade in value-added and analysis the theoretical framework of trade in value-added, including the cause? the structure and the influence of trade in value-added. This chapter also expounded the methods to measure trade in value-added and compare the advantages and disadvantages of these methods. We also build the measurement framework of trade in value-added based on the international input-output table.Chapter III introduced the trade in value-added in China and the factors changes. The chapter respectively analyzed the trend of the trade in value-added in China, combined with the processing trade. This chapter also analyzed the factors changes,such as labor?capital and knowledge capital in China.Chapter IV analyzed the influence mechanism about the effects of factors changes on trade in value-added. Two general equilibrium models ware constructed in this chapter. The first model is the general equilibrium model about trade in value-added, and the second model is the general equilibrium model about trade in value-added under the integration of international trade and FDI.Chapter V analyzed the effects of factors changes on trade in value-added in China. The chapter mainly analyzed the trade in value-added in China under the labor reduction?the capital flow reversion and the factors changes under the integration of international trade and FDI. This chapter combined the actual conditions of factors changes and GTAP to simulate the economy in China. Based on the simulation data, we constructed the international input-output tables to measure the changes of the trade in value-added in China, such as the compare advantage?the value chain participation and the trade in value-added.Chapter VI assessed the solutions for the factors changes. This chapter also used the GTAP to simulate the economy after the factors changes and constructed the international input-output tables. This chapter assessed the effectiveness of the solutions, including the change of labor force and the improving quality of labor force.Chapter VII summarized the conclusions. The chapter summarized the contents of the above chapters and put corresponding suggestions.