| In the early 80 s of last century,the implementation of the household contract responsibility system made farmers become the basic constituent units of agricultural production in China.Under the farmer's independent management system,which was based on the household contract management,farmers re-obtained the autonomy of production and operation.Because of having eliminated the supervision cost,the management model based on the family burst out of higher institutional efficiency than other forms,which greatly mobilized the enthusiasm of individual farmers' production and operation.And the production of agricultural products in China had been constantly refreshing the historical record.But at the same time,it also produced the “sequela” of the farmer's small-scale dispersed management.The concrete performances were as follows: Firstly,small-scale family dispersed management couldn't form economies of scale effect.Secondly,small plots of land were dispersed managed,hindering the promotion of agricultural mechanization.It was not conducive to the improvement of the level of agriculture science and technology.Thirdly,the right to property rights of agricultural land was unknown and farmers lacked land free disposal rights,which restricted farmers to choose freely.Fourthly,dispersed smallholder management couldn't overcome the blindness of agricultural production,and information asymmetry increased transaction costs and the instability of agricultural production and management.It was difficult to adapt to the needs of current market economic development.With the continuous improvement and deepening of the socialist market economy,it is decreasing day by day that the institutional efficiency of the farmer's autonomous management system based on the family contract management.And the development of agricultural modernization in the new period is difficult.Therefore,through the innovation and reform of agricultural management system,in the new era,the development concept of using the commercialization and industrialization to produce and manage agriculture will become the only way for China's agricultural development.The core of China's agricultural management system in the new period lies in “constructing modern agricultural system,developing moderate scale operation and cultivating new agricultural management main body”.However,due to the influences of the self-strengthening of the old system,the barrier effect of conversion cost,the non-cooperative game of stakeholders,the blocking of informal system level,and other factors,the traditional single agricultural management system,which is based on “family contract management and combined with integration”,is in the process of further innovation of agricultural management system in the new period.The process of its vicissitude embodies the strong characteristics of the path dependence,and the development mode of the agricultural industrialization and the reform idea of the marketization in the new period are difficult to be effectively implemented.In order to reduce the path dependence in the process of the change of China's agricultural management system and speed up the process of promoting the modernization of agricultural rural areas,this study combines the background of supply-side structural reform,makes a detailed combing of the changing course of China's agricultural management system,and explores the formation mechanism of path dependence from two angles of innovative qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis.They construct a more systematic evaluation system of the efficiency of China's agricultural management system.On the basis of this,it is proposed that we should adopt the concrete measures of perfecting the modern market system,deepening the reform of the property right system of the contracted land,strengthening the Government's basic work in the countryside,changing the ideological concept and overcoming the viscosity of consciousness.And we also should actively explore the relevant countermeasures and suggestions for the path dependence in the process of the change of China's agricultural management system,so as to achieve the goal of rational adjustment of agricultural structure,innovation driven development and the maximization of rural social welfare as soon as possible.The study consists of seven chapters,and the main contents of which are as follows:The first chapter is about the introduction.Firstly,this chapter makes a related exposition of this study on the research background,the theoretical significance and the practical significance.Secondly,this part summarizes the existing research on the agricultural management system and the path dependence at home and abroad.Thirdly,it introduces the concrete ideas,research methods,main contents and structural arrangements of this study.Finally,it also summarizes the main innovation points and shortcomings of this study.The second chapter is about the relevant theoretical basis.This chapter makes a comprehensive combing of the theoretical basis with the problem of path dependence in the change of China's agricultural management system.It includes the theory of property Right,the theory of incomplete contract,the theory of institutional change and the theory of path dependence.It emphatically analyzes the formation process of path dependence in institutional change as well.The third chapter is about the analysis of the change of China's agricultural management system with respect to the course,the motivation and path dependence.Firstly,this chapter makes a detailed combing and review of the evolution of China's agricultural management system since the founding of the nation,and it summarizes the process of the change of China's agricultural management system into four concrete stages.They are the agricultural management system in the agricultural cooperation period,the highly centralized and unified agricultural management system in the people's commune period,the self-management system of farmers based on the household contract management and the further reform and innovation of agricultural management system in the new period.Then,according to the "demand-supply" analysis model of Western economics,this chapter analyzes the motivation of the change of China's agricultural management system built on summing up the main characteristics of the change of China's agricultural management system.At last,this chapter summarizes the initial formation and self-reinforcement of the path dependence On the basis of analyzing the concrete characteristics and changing motivation of the change course of agricultural management system in China.The fourth chapter is about the formation mechanism of the path dependence in the process of China's agricultural management system change.This chapter is mainly a qualitative analysis of that.It dissects the formation mechanism of the path dependence in detail in four aspects,that is the cost barriers of institutional change,the non-cooperative game of stakeholders,the viscous block of the dilemma of complementary system change and the restrictive effect of informal institutional factors.The fifth chapter is about the efficiency evaluation and empirical research of China's agricultural management system,which based on this path dependence.This chapter is mainly an empirical analysis of the path dependence in the process of agricultural management system change in China.Firstly,it makes an empirical analysis of the efficiency of the four stages of agricultural management system by constructing the efficiency evaluation system model of China's agricultural management system and the benefit of DEA—Data Envelopment Analysis.And then,it concludes that the path dependence is the root of the influence of the change efficiency of agricultural management system in China.Secondly,the comprehensive evaluation function is established by means of the expert consultation method,which quantitatively analyzes the influencing factors of the path dependence formation in this system in China.And it focuses on the analysis of several main components with large amount of interpretation information.The sixth chapter is about the change course and the experience reference of the typical national agricultural management system.This chapter mainly introduces the process of agricultural management system change in three typical countries: the United States,France and Japan.It comments on its vicissitude process and effect,and puts forward the reference and enlightenment to the development of modern agriculture in China through horizontal and longitudinal comparative research and analysis.The seventh chapter is about the countermeasure of this study.At first,this chapter summarizes the research conclusions of the full text.And then on the basis of the previous theory and empirical analysis,it puts forward some time-efficient and maneuverable relevant countermeasures and suggestions from the policy and regulations,government functions,interest subjects and other different angles.The eighth chapter mainly summarizes the research conclusions of the whole paper,and makes the research prospect to further study the related problems of the path dependence in the process of the change of China's agricultural management system.This study has a certain degree of innovation,which mainly reflected in these aspects:First,research method innovation.Combining the normative analysis and empirical analysis methods of economics,this paper adopts the method of metrological analysis,comprehensively uses the theoretical basis of the path dependence theory,the Prospect Theory,the Game Theory and so on,and takes the path dependence as the precondition constraint condition to quantify the evaluation index of system efficiency in the process of China's agricultural management system change with regard to the expert consultation method.Using the factor analysis to construct the efficiency evaluation index system,the comprehensive evaluation function equation is fitted by principal component regression analysis method.Second,the analysis perspective innovation.In the past research,few scholars attach the importance to the formation and function of the path dependence in the process of agricultural management system change.During the process,the research on the path dependence theory mostly stays in the descriptive analysis stage.And it lacks a mathematical model which can be accurately measured.That makes the theoretical results can not be verified which undermines the validity of the theory.This study will make full use of the theoretical guidance on "the institutional change" and "the path dependence".It will analyze the change course of China's agricultural management system from two angles of qualitative and quantitative.With the help of the evaluation Index system,which based on the path dependence,it will deeply analyze the component factors that affect the change of China's agricultural management system,too.To realize the construction of the measurement model between the path dependence and the change of China's agricultural management system,this paper tries to reveal the concrete mechanism and formation process of the path dependence in the change of agricultural management system.On the basis of this,we try to put forward the countermeasures and suggestions that realize the path dependence beyond the timeliness.It not only aims to improve the efficiency level of the implementation of the agricultural management system,but also realize the goal of rational adjustment of agricultural structure.It is also aimed at the innovation driving development and maximizing rural social welfare in order to complete the task of agricultural supply side reform.Third,research viewpoint innovation.In accordance with the trend of agricultural economic benefit curve in different stages,it is concluded that the operation of the system during this process in each period is accompanied by the existence of the path dependence block phenomenon after analyzing the quantitative model and data law of the article.combined the evaluation Index system established by path dependence,we conclude that: the agricultural property right system,the precipitation cost,the government control ability,the value concept and the endowment effect are the important influencing factors of the path dependence in the process of forming of China's agricultural management system change. |
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