Study On Ecological Capacity And Ecological Security Of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region Based On The Energy Ecological Footprint

As China's northern ecological barrier. Inner Mongolia is known to lush grassland, and now grassland degradation, land desertification, soil erosion and frequent sandstorms, they are gradually becoming dust in North China and threat to our country's birthplace. Human began to realize that Ecological capacity is the real problem and it is is the key to sustainable development of regional economy. However, the current domestic and international ecological capacity remains at the basis of qualitative judgments, and the method of indicators related to many factors, so the operation is more difficult. Therefore the establishment of evaluation index system of ecological safety and quantitative evaluation model to become the core of ecological security assessment research, the ecological footprint in this case developed into an emerging and important regional ecological security evaluation of a method or not, become a widely used quantitative measure of sustainable development methods.In this study, the context of developing the western region of Inner Mongolia, the rapid development of areas as a case study the problem of ecological carrying capacity of the region to carry out eco-security. Try will be able to value theory, Ecological Footprint and Ecological Safety in Inner Mongolia, organic combination of ecological carrying capacity of supply and demand, objectively and accurately explore and grasp the situation of regional ecological security of current and future dynamics of regional sustainable development to provide protection for the ecological security Suggestions to prevent environmental degradation and its adverse social impact of economic development, protection of regional sustainable economic development, accelerate the narrowing gap between east and west. The main conclusions are as follows:(1) Through the traditional ecological footprint and the energy ecological footprint model to calculate the ecological footprint and the ecological capacity in Inner Mongolia from 2000 to 2009, and compare the results of two different calculations one by one. Thus verify the feasibility and reliability of the energy ecological footprint. The results of the traditional ecological footprint and the energy ecological footprint model all show that ecological capacity of Inner Mongolia in this time series fluctuated, but the ecological footprint was growing trend preached. The ecological footprint per capita ecological capacity of fossil energy land, arable land and grassland in Inner Mongolia is very obvious. And he ecological footprint of fossil fuel sites was the greatest impact. The average ecological footprint of the year after a large ecological footprint as small as:fossil fuel land> farmland> grassland> woodland> Building sites> waters.(2) According to the traditional ecological footprint and the energy ecological footprint model to calculate the ecological deficit/surplus and ecological pressure index. The construction index system of article used the relevant indicators of ecological security of the ecological footprint and ecological capacity to comprehensive analysis and evaluation of current situation in Inner Mongolia from 2000 to 2009. which in order to avoid the subjective and the standards are not uniform doping situation. The results showed:ecological capacity changes fluctuated; regional ecological footprints:Ecological deficit increased every year, and grew with significant trend;The ecological pressure index grew with significant trend. According to ecological security evaluation can be drawn from Inner Mongolia:environment in a relatively safe state from 2000 to 2009. but the relevant index has increased significantly with the trend of the year.(3) According to the gray forecasting model to predict the ecological footprint and ecological capacity in Inner Mongolia from 2010 to 2019. calculating the ecological deficit and ecological security, and made the prediction of trends of ecological security and early warning assessment in the future. The results showed:the ecological capacity in Inner Mongolia will be in a downward trend from 2010 to 2019. the regional per capita ecological footprint will increase significantly. Ecological deficit and ecological pressure index will increase. Ecological security evaluation results show that the ecological security in Inner Mongolia will be in a relatively safe level from 2010 to 2019. but the combination of ecological pressure index is not difficult to come to the security state will decline, which will cause deterioration of ecological environment. The ecological security level in Inner Mongolia has increased over the previous decade from 2010 to 2019. is expected to reach Level 2 by 2017 (the police), forecast and early warning level will increase over time increased rapidly year by year.(4) Using the increasing population in Inner Mongolia, urbanization, the development of resource and utilization of irrational factors. Inner Mongolia is facing resources, environment, development, and so many challenges. In order to improve its current status and future development trend of unsafe. In the future to a firm implementation both ecological protection and development of policy guidelines, increased research efforts and the use of advanced technology. Rational Development and a variety of land resources to improve the output per unit area of existing natural resources. And promote the sustainable recycling and eco-industrial chain development model vigorously. In the end. establish a resource-saving system of social production gradually and consumption to promote the region's economy, society and ecological environment of comprehensive and coordinated development.