Analysis On Forecast Method Of Urban Railway Transport Demand And The Environment And Scenes Along The Line

With the acceleration of urbanization and the development of people's life standard,urban railway transportation as a new travel method is becoming an inevitable part of urban traffic.But according to domestic and overseas complexion of urban railway transportation,its business benefit is low.How to fully utilize urban railway transportation resource so as to improve its business benefit is an important problem that urban traffic planning will face. Aiming at this problem ,this article analyzed railway transport impulse on urban land planning, brought forward an operative method and model,and deeply analyzed the environment and scenes around urban railway line. This thesis emphasized tree problems as follows: Firstly,it discussed the relation between urban railway transport and urban land development,and the balance of railway transport network density and common urban traffic network density. Secondly,it brought forth forecast method of urban railway transport demand based on remainder traffic demand. That is :based on the forecast of general traffic mode and designed road capacity,on every section general traffic supply can be extracted .The total urban traffic demand is distributed on the all general traffic roads,adopting every path distributing method in traffic distributing step of "four steps forecast method".The difference of traffic supply and traffic demand is calculated.It is namely the remainder traffic demand. At last,urban railway transport demand is forecasted and planed according as the remainder traffic demand. Thirdly, it analyzes the harmony between urban overhead railway transport line and environment around the line,static scenes and moving scenes along the urban overhead railway transport line. Based on the theories above,as an instance,this article also thoroughly analyzed the reason that the function efficiency of Wuhan light railway is low,its resource is wasted serious, and brought forward some methods how to solve the problem the business of Wuhan light railway is not so ideal. At last,it presented textual conclusions and original points.