Experimetal Research On The Identity Of Probabilistic Model And Heuristic System Under The Dual Task Condition

the oldest problem of history of psychological research is whether the information processing of human brain is Parallel or sequence, which is also a important problem of cognitive psychological research, cognitive psychologists Newell and Simon proposed that information processing theory represent the sequence processing, but the Connectionism raised in 80s of last century supported parallel processing. The method of solving this problem is two processes coexist in information processing of human brain. The bud of the theory can traced back to ancient Greek philosopher Aristotle. After the establishment of scientific psychology, James (1890/1950), Piaget (1926), Vygotsky (1934/1987), Neisser (1963) and Johnson-Laird(1983) have discussed this issue. In recent years, the dual processing of human behavior involved in cognitive and social psychological field. It has profound impact on higher cognitive process, for example,thinking,resoning,decision-making and social judgement,learning,memory,Philosophical Thinking and Evolutionary Psychology.In the reasoning area, there are also the same problem. The beginning of the controversy originated in the irrational behavior of people the performance of reasoning, logical reasoning for these errors, the traditional model theory is hard to explain. So researchers have turned to a new model to explore. Among them Oaksford (2000) conditions for the development of probabilistic reasoning model (a conditional probability model of conditional inference). The model of "negative conclusion bias" to make a new interpretation, and the development of a number of researchers believe that the "human condition has a significant probability reasoning component," this view. His conducting a series of empirical studies, proposed a "high probability of concluding effect" (High-probability conclusion effect) concept. Refers to the conclusions of reasoning are more likely to agree with the premise of probability higher than the probability inference. Proponents of dual-processing system to solve the model theory and model theory of conflict, began to assume that the system 1 and system 2 respectively, follow different rules, fast and simple system which may be followed by a probability model, and time-consuming to follow closely the system II is the model theory.In this context, this study attempts a probability model for the system and run to provide experimental evidence of this hypothesis.In this study, the verification conditions in Oaksford reasoning test based on the polarity of bias, the introduction of the dual task model, according to the system of resource conservation of a probabilistic model of the polarity effect and the expe rimental one proposed and validated the following assumptions: Assumption 1: In general, the conclusions of reasoning with high probability than the low probability of concluding reasoning can get more recognition.Assumption 2: The inference from the variable to see the four inference forms, with high probability of concluding the reasoning can get more than the low probability of concluding reasoning recognition.A general test of working memory resources in a situation of occupation, the high probability of concluding effect happened and found a more obvious effect of high probability conclusions, verifies the above hypothesis.The second research study on the basis of a by changing the sub-tasks, and further studied only voice Central is under occupation, is still being tested to determine whether there will be high probability of concluding effect, the results confirmed the hypothesis. And thus a probability model for the system integration to provide a more specific sufficient evidence.