The Forecast Of China's Industry Of Pharmacy In 2050

This paper used the method of e-conometrics made a forecast of China's industry of pharmacy in 2050 and studied the trend and set up a lot of models.From the view of exterior we forecast the gross products of domestic of pharmacy .From the view of interior we forecast the frame of pharmacy's market and performance .For GDP, we divided it into four phases. High speed development history, Difficult adjustment, Chance and challenge, The future with a powerful potential. And made a study for every phase. It indicate that the high speed development in the phase from 1986 to 1998 was caused by the investment of factors, So we must have a adjustment in the phase of 1999 to 20-07,And the adjustment was difficult.From 2008,the industry of pharmacy will meet a chance and a challenge. After 2025, the industry of pharmacy will arrive the phase of modernization.And we divided the period into three phases, the phase of industrialization, thephase of primary modernization and the phase of modernization. By the forecast of the rate of technically improve contribute.