| China's real estate market is increasing quickly now. In order to keep the real estate industry to develop healthily, steadily and rapidly, the macroscopic adjustment and control of the government and the commercial market behavior must rest on the sufficient market information. But the perfect and systemic analysis on the real estate market is an important path to do this. The supervisor government organizations control a lot of market information, therefore, the real estate market analysis from the angle of the industry has the sufficient data foundation and the service characteristic. But for our country now, this work is almost blank. At the same time, the real estate market is always with the obvious regional characteristic, so the original writing intention of the author is to construct a regional real estate the market analysis frame and a perfect technique system from the angle of the industry, so as to provide the industry operators a reference and promote the real estate industry to develop more steadily.There are five chapters in whole:Chapter One is the regional real estate the market analysis summary. Section One interprets the concept of " region", the problems that the regional real estate market analysis will solve, the characteristics and functions of the analysis; Section Two illustrates the present condition of China's regional real estate, this part is the basis of the later parts, and it makes the study conclusion more easy to apply.Chapter Two is a key part of this thesis, it is about the basic way of the regional real estate market analysis and the analysis frame. It is the important premise to confirm a reasonable the way of analyzing and a relatively perfect frame for the complete and available market analysis. The way of the analyzing includes three points: one is the "three layers", which is the macro-economy, the aggregate regional real estate market and the disaggregate market; the second point is "three time phases", which is the history, now and future, the time connection can insure the study continuous; the last one is "two series of techniques", which includes the technical analysis and the fundamental analysis. The way of the technical analysis is to grasp the market condition and developing trend through selecting, classifying and systematizing the market data indicators, but the fundamental analysis is to contain the aim through gathering the basic market data, reasonable statistics and analysis. According to the previous thinking way, the author attempts to construct a relatively integrate frame of regional real estate market analysis. This frame comprises three parts: regional macro-economy analysis, regional real estate market technical analysis and regional real estate market fundamental analysis.On the basis of this frame, the latter three chapters mainly probe the concrete analysis techniques and their applications. Chapter Three is the analysis techniques andapplications for the macro-economy. Because the whole economic quantity and the changing trend are the most important contents among the macro-economy analysis, the author makes an emphasis on the methods of economic period analysis and economic index analysis; And the method of factor analysis is applied on analyzing the concrete quantity indicators; but the method of establishing economic model puts emphasis on the forecasting the economic tendency.Chapter Four is discussing the methods of the technical analysis. The main point of this part is how to establish and apply the real estate indexes system and prosperity score system so that we can grasp the whole market condition and attain the conclusion that if the market is in a reasonable development extent at this time.The last chapter is about the methods of the fundamental analysis. Because the core content of the fundamental analysis is composed of three aspects: the supply & demand analysis, exterior key effecting factors analysis and the basic prediction analysis. So the author respectively states the three aspects on the individual section.
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