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Measurement Analysis And Countermeasure That The Consumption Demand Of Our Country Is Insufficient

Posted on:2005-12-31Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:B Q WuFull Text:PDF
GTID:2156360125456781Subject:Quantitative Economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
The economy of our country has kept the fast growth of 20 years, in last century latter stage of the 1990s, and the shortage state of the evolution medium and long-term existence of our national economy comes to an end after all, and the substitute is the surplus of the products, the state that the effective demand is insufficient. By the look of economic development in recent years of our country, the low consumption rate of residents, and the insufficient consumption demand are the immediate cause causing economy not to circulate benignly.Only expanding consumption constantly could spur economic lasting growth. The consumption demand occupies the important position during the process of spuring macroeconomy by expanding domestic demand, and the improvement of the consumption demand has very important function on the increasing continuously, fast, steadily of China's economy. How expand domestic demand, open up domestic market is to concern of our country in the future development a great subject of the overall situation. There is one of more than 1,200 million people's big markets in China that has very great development potentiality, and probably keep faster growth rate within longer period too. So, no matter overcome the real difficulty in the present economic life, or the long-term development focusing on next century, all of us must implement the developing policy specializing in expanding domestic demand. So study the regularity of resident's consumer behavior, to the safe operation guaranteeing the macroeconomy, which are deep realistic meanings. This text combining the economic theory mainly, has carried on the following analysis to resident's reason under consumption in terms of real example:(1) The paper analyses the whole state of the consumption of resident of China, then analyses the conditions of consumption of the cities and towns and rural resident respectively, and analyses the reason that residents have insufficient consumption demand theoretically.(2) The paper sets up linear model of consumption and the incomes of urban residents and rural resident separately, and analyses the marginal propensity to consume and elasticity of urban residents and rural resident. Carry on comparative analysis to the cities and towns and rural resident, analyses the reason produced and impact on whole consumption of our country.(3) The paper establishes the linear model of average propensity to consume and the Gini coefficient of expressing the national gap between rich and poor to urban residents and rural resident separately, and sets up the urban average propensity to consume and Gini coefficient models of urban residents. So as to the rural resident. The paper carries on impact on propensity to consume equally of Gini coefficient of comparative analysis, and analyses the reason produced and impact on whole consumption of our country. Resident's income big gap has already become a problem that can't be avoided faced in present economic evolution of our country, especially the income states of some low income residents have drawn common concern of the whole society.(4) The paper analyses the relation between consumption of resident and the workforce supplies. Resident rate of unemployment can reflect workforce supply state, so can analyses influence that workforce supply from consumption of resident relation with rate of unemployment with directly.(5) The paper analyses the social security system and uncertain impact on consumption of our country. In the middle period of the 1990s last century, the social security system reform of our country entered key stage, and the social security system concerns the life of ordinary common people. It is influencing people's psychological expectancy directly, and then exerts an influence in consuming. With the deepening of the SOE reform and promotion of the employment system, the employment form of our country is very serious, and uncertainty is increasing, and these have exerted an influence in consuming.(6) The paper provides the countermeasure and sugges...
Keywords/Search Tags:the consumption demand, resident's income, Gini coefficient, co-integration.
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