Research On The Important Question Of Forecasting The Thuoughput Of Airport In China

With the development of innovation, air transportation has been a important part of passenger and fright transportation. At the same time, the constructions of china's airports don't fit the development of air transportation. Many airports' size is too big, it brings lots of difficulty to the management of airports. The throughput of airport determines the size of airport, so we must do more work on the forecasting. After lots of investigate, I found the key problem of forecast is standardization the flow and making certain the aviation share ratio. There are two parts in this article. In the first part, I bring forward the shortcoming of forecasting based on analyses of the condition of forecast the throughput of airport, and standardize the flow. In the second part, Analyses the application and shortcoming of the method to choose a best transport mode, then apply measure economic mode to settle the problem by analyses the macro-factors and using the statistics way to dispose the data. Then I set up regressing modes. At the same time, I forecast the share ratio of all transport modes. At last apply the research in the airport construction feasibility research and forecast the throughput of airport.